Race header
DEMNominee
Lee McInnis
1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Mike Rogers
incumbent
99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentMike Rogers
Hume Outlook
99% Mike Rogers · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
Mike Rogers
99%
DEM
Lee McInnis
1%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMMcinnisREPRogers
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Lee McInnis$62,981.54
Mike Rogers$2,521,576.37
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Lee McInnis$28,982.69
Mike Rogers$1,736,266.97
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Lee McInnis$41,130.49
Mike Rogers$2,707,643.70
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Lee McInnisNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Mike RogersNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Lee McInnisNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Mike RogersNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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