Influence no longer invisible Races · 2026
Hidden Levers
2026 · U.S. Senate and House

Races

Coverage 470 races · as of 2026-10-30

Balance of power

Republicans control both chambers. On Nov 3, all 435 House seats and 35 of the 100 Senate seats are on the ballot. Democrats need a net gain of 4 seats in the Senate and 4 in the House to take control.

Senate

47Democrats and 2 independents
53Republicans
51 for a majority

Dark: on the ballotLight: not up in 2026

Seats now53 Republicans, 45 Democrats, 2 independents (King and Sanders) who caucus with Democrats.
For control51 seats. Vice President Vance breaks a 50-50 tie, so Republicans keep control with 50.
On the ballot35 seats: 22 held by Republicans, 13 by Democrats. That includes special elections in Florida and Ohio.
To flipDemocrats need a net gain of 4. Republicans can lose a net 3 and keep control.
Toss-ups3 races where the Hume Outlook leader is below 60%.

House

214Democrats
218Republicans
218 for a majority

2 vacant1 independent

Seats now218 Republicans, 214 Democrats, 1 independent (Kiley, CA-3) who caucuses with Republicans, 2 vacant (FL-20, last held by a Democrat; TX-23, last held by a Republican).
For control218 of 435 seats.
On the ballotAll 435 seats.
To flipDemocrats need a net gain of 4 from today's 214, or 3 if FL-20 is counted as theirs. Republicans keep control by winning 218.
Toss-ups15 races where the Hume Outlook leader is below 60%; 4 are between candidates of the same party, which cannot change the count.

Seat counts checked Nov 1, 2026 against the Clerk of the U.S. House and the U.S. Senate. Net gains count from today's seats. Toss-ups: Hume Outlook as of Oct 28, 2026.

Toss-ups

18 races where the Hume Outlook leader is at 60% or less, closest first · as of 2026-10-28.

  1. FL-27 House Maria Elvira Salazar REP 51% · Eliott Rodriguez DEM 49%
  2. PA-08 House Robert P. Bresnahan Jr. REP 51% · Paige Cognetti DEM 49%
  3. VA-01 House Robert J. Rob Wittman REP 51% · Shannon L. Taylor DEM 49%
  4. WI-01 House Bryan Steil REP 51% · Mitchell Berman DEM 49%
  5. PA-01 House Bob Harvie DEM 52% · Brian K. Fitzpatrick REP 48%
  6. CA-14 House Aisha Wahab DEM 53% · Melissa Hernandez DEM 47%
  7. CA-07 House Doris Matsui DEM 54% · Mai Vang DEM 46%
  8. CO-03 House Jeff Hurd REP 54% · Dwayne L. Romero DEM 46%
  9. TX Senate James Talarico DEM 55% · Ken Paxton REP 45%
  10. NC-01 House Laurie Buckhout REP 57% · Don Davis DEM 43%
  11. OH Senate Sherrod Brown DEM 58% · Jon Husted REP 42%
  12. MI-10 House Christina Bertrand Hines DEM 58% · Michael Bouchard REP 42%
  13. NE Senate Pete Ricketts REP 58% · Dan Osborn IND 42%
  14. CA-40 House Young Kim REP 59% · Ken Calvert REP 41%
  15. OH-07 House Brian Poindexter DEM 59% · Max L. Miller REP 41%
  16. MI-04 House Bill Huizenga REP 59% · Sean McCann DEM 41%
  17. CA-11 House Scott Wiener DEM 59% · Connie Chan DEM 41%
  18. AZ-02 House Elijah Crane REP 60% · Jonathan Nez DEM 40%

Alabama

  • U.S. Senate Everett Wess DEM · Barry Moore REP
  • District 1 Clyde W Jones Jr. DEM · Jerry Carl REP
  • District 2 Shomari Figures DEM · Rhett Marques REP
  • District 3 Lee McInnis DEM · Mike Rogers REP
  • District 4 Amanda N. Pusczek DEM · Robert B. Aderholt REP
  • District 5 Andrew Sneed DEM · Dale W. Strong REP
  • District 6 Maurice Mercer DEM · Gary J. Palmer REP
  • District 7 Terri A. Sewell DEM · Ammie Akin REP

Alaska

Arizona

  • District 1 Amish Shah DEM · Monica Alponte LIB · Thomas Jay Feely IV REP
  • District 2 Jonathan Nez DEM · Curtis Goodwin LIB · Elijah Crane REP
  • District 3 Yassamin Ansari DEM · David Redkey GRN · Alan Aversa OTH
  • District 4 Greg Stanton DEM · Tisha Benoit OTH · Zuhdi Jasser REP
  • District 5 Elizabeth Lee DEM · Mark Lamb REP
  • District 6 JoAnna Mendoza DEM · Gary Swing GRN · Jereme Lance Peters LIB · Juan Ciscomani REP
  • District 7 Adelita S. Grijalva DEM · Daniel Francis Butierez, Sr. REP
  • District 8 Bernadette Greene-Placentia DEM · Abraham J. Hamadeh REP
  • District 9 Danielle Dani Sterbinsky DEM · Paul A. Gosar REP

Arkansas

  • U.S. Senate Hallie Shoffner DEM · Jeff Wadlin LIB · Tom Cotton REP
  • District 1 Terri Yarbrough Green DEM · Steve G. Parsons LIB · Eric A. Rick Crawford REP
  • District 2 Chris Jones DEM · French Hill REP
  • District 3 Robb Ryerse DEM · Bobby Wilson LIB · Steve Womack REP
  • District 4 James Rus Russell III DEM · Bruce Westerman REP

California

Colorado

  • U.S. Senate John Hickenlooper DEM · Blake Huber LIB · Adam Withrow OTH · Bob Chew OTH · Christopher Baum OTH · Mark Baisley REP
  • District 1 Melat Kiros DEM · Shimon Blau IND · Chad Humphrey LIB · Critter Milton OTH · Christy Peterson REP
  • District 2 Joe Neguse DEM · Gaylon Kent LIB · Kelley Anne Dennison REP
  • District 3 Dwayne L. Romero DEM · Clifton Brown IND · Cory Robertson LIB · Jeff Hurd REP
  • District 4 Eileen Laubacher DEM · Douglas Mangeris LIB · Lauren Boebert REP
  • District 5 Christopher Mitchell CON · Jessica Killin DEM · Mark Marky Jr Elworth LIB · Jeff Crank REP
  • District 6 Jason Crow DEM · Samir Ezzeldin Witta IND · Patty McMahon LIB · Meredith Ryan OTH · Jason Clark REP
  • District 7 Lawrence Kyle Clark CON · Brittany Pettersen DEM · Joe Krzeczkowski IND · Dan Kilo Sallis LIB · Susan Hall OTH · Tim Bennett REP
  • District 8 Manny Rutinel DEM · Dave Wood LIB · Gabe Evans REP

Connecticut

  • District 1 Luke Bronin DEM · Mary L. Sanders GRN · Amy Chai REP
  • District 2 Joe Courtney DEM · George Patrick Austin REP
  • District 3 Rosa L. DeLauro DEM · Thomas Egan OTH · Christopher Lancia REP
  • District 4 Jim Himes DEM · Benjamin Wesley OTH · Michael Ted Goldstein REP
  • District 5 Jahana Hayes DEM · Chris Shea REP

Delaware

  • U.S. Senate Chris Coons DEM · Michael Dr.Mike Katz REP
  • At-large Sarah McBride DEM · Joseph Dr.Joe Arminio REP

Florida

  • U.S. Senate (special) Angie Nixon DEM · Neil J. Gillespie IND · Ashley Moody REP
  • District 1 Gay Valimont DEM · Tyler L. Davis IND · Jimmy Patronis REP
  • District 2 Amanda Marie Green DEM · Austin Rogers REP
  • District 3 Seth Harp DEM · Mike Klein IND · Kat Cammack REP
  • District 4 LaShonda L.J. Holloway DEM · Todd Schaefer IND · Mike Sell OTH · Aaron Bean REP
  • District 5 Rachel Grage DEM · John H. Rutherford REP
  • District 6 Eric Yonce DEM · Michael Gist IND · Andrew Parrott LIB · Randy Fine REP
  • District 7 Bale Dalton DEM · Christopher Dennison LIB · Ryan Elijah REP
  • District 8 Jennifer Jenkins DEM · Mike Haridopolos REP
  • District 9 Darren Soto DEM · Dan Green REP
  • District 10 Maxwell Alejandro Frost DEM
  • District 11 James Pericola DEM · Ralph Groves LIB · Joe Strada REP
  • District 12 Kimberly Overman DEM · Branden Scrivener IND · Gus Michael Bilirakis REP
  • District 13 Leela Gray DEM · Tony D'Arrigo IND · Anna Paulina Luna REP
  • District 14 Kathy Castor DEM · Brian Lambert LIB · Mike Beltran REP
  • District 15 Robert People DEM · Laurel Lee REP
  • District 16 Kelly Kirschner DEM · Mark Davis IND · Sydney Gruters REP
  • District 17 Matthew Montavon DEM · Michael J. Quirk IND · Greg Steube REP
  • District 18 Curtis Gibson DEM · Deva Simmons IND · Scott Franklin REP
  • District 19 Victor Arias DEM · Seth Haskin IND · Jim Schwartzel REP
  • District 20 Debbie Wasserman Schultz DEM · Kedner Maxime OTH · Brent Andersen REP
  • District 21 James T. Martin DEM · Alexander Cooke IND · Brian Mast REP
  • District 22 Pia Dandiya DEM · Casey Askar REP
  • District 23 Lois Frankel DEM · Deborah Adeimy REP
  • District 24 Oliver G. Gilbert III DEM · Te Mayonna Brown REP
  • District 25 Jared Moskowitz DEM · Peter Jassenoff LIB · Scott Singer REP
  • District 26 Nicole Locklin DEM · Deborah Ann Meidinger Hosey IND · Mario Diaz-Balart REP
  • District 27 Eliott Rodriguez DEM · Maria Elvira Salazar REP
  • District 28 Phil Felipe Ehr DEM · Eddy Rojas IND · Carlos A. Gimenez REP

Georgia

  • U.S. Senate Jon Ossoff DEM · Mike Collins REP Lean D Cook Political Report · as of 2026-04-13

    One of two Democratic-held seats up in a state Trump won in 2024 (by 2.2 points), and Republicans' best pickup target; Cook nonetheless moved it from Toss Up to Lean D on April 13, 2026 (Cook race page; Fox News, April 13, 2026).

  • District 1 Amanda Hollowell DEM · James Jim Kingston REP
  • District 2 Sanford D. Bishop Jr. DEM · Matt Day REP
  • District 3 Maura Keller DEM · Brian Jack REP
  • District 4 Hank Johnson DEM · James Duffie REP
  • District 5 Nikema Williams DEM · John Bongo Salvesen REP
  • District 6 Lucy McBath DEM · Kevin Martin REP
  • District 7 Tony Kozycki DEM · Rich McCormick REP
  • District 8 Kelly Esti DEM · Austin Scott REP
  • District 9 Caitlyn Gegen DEM · Andrew S. Clyde REP
  • District 10 Pamela Pam DeLancy DEM · Houston Gaines REP
  • District 11 Chris Harden DEM · John Cowan REP
  • District 12 Ceretta Smith DEM · Rick W. Allen REP
  • District 13 Jasmine Clark DEM · Jonathan Chavez REP
  • District 14 Shawn Harris DEM · Clay Fuller REP

Hawaii

  • District 1 Ed Case DEM · Jordan S. Conley GRN · Nathan M. Berning IND · Adriel C. Lam REP
  • District 2 Jill N. Tokuda DEM · Brenton Awa REP

Idaho

  • U.S. Senate Natalie Fleming IND · Todd Achilles IND · Matt Loesby LIB · Jim Risch REP
  • District 1 Brendan J. Gomez CON · Kaylee Peterson DEM · Sarah Zabel IND · Russ Fulcher REP
  • District 2 Elinor Gilbreath DEM · Emre Houser IND · Tripp Charles Hutchinson IND · Will Johanson LIB · Michael K. Simpson REP

Illinois

  • U.S. Senate Juliana Stratton DEM · Whitfield Harrington, Jr. OTH · Don Tracy REP
  • District 1 Jonathan L. Jackson DEM · Christian Maxwell REP
  • District 2 Donna Miller DEM · Michael Scott Noack REP
  • District 3 Delia Ramirez DEM · Angel Oakley REP
  • District 4 Patty Garcia DEM · Chris Getty IND · Ed Hershey OTH · Lupe Castillo REP
  • District 5 Mike Quigley DEM · Tommy Hanson REP
  • District 6 Sean Casten DEM · Niki Conforti REP
  • District 7 La Shawn K. Ford DEM · Chad Koppie REP
  • District 8 Melissa Bean DEM · Jennifer Davis REP
  • District 9 Daniel Biss DEM · John Elleson REP
  • District 10 Brad Schneider DEM · Carl Lambrecht REP
  • District 11 Bill Foster DEM · Jeff Walter REP
  • District 12 Julie Fortier DEM · Mike Bost REP
  • District 13 Nikki Budzinski DEM · Jeff Wilson REP
  • District 14 Lauren Underwood DEM · James T. Jim Marter REP
  • District 15 Jennifer Todd DEM · Mary E. Miller REP
  • District 16 Paul Nolley DEM · Darin LaHood REP
  • District 17 Eric Sorensen DEM · Dillan Vancil REP

Indiana

  • District 1 Frank Mrvan DEM · Barb Regnitz REP
  • District 2 Jamee Decio DEM · William Eric Henry LIB · Rudy Yakym III REP
  • District 3 Kelly Thompson DEM · Marlin A. Stutzman REP
  • District 4 Drew Cox DEM · James R. Baird REP
  • District 5 J. D. Ford DEM · Victoria Spartz REP
  • District 6 Cynthia Cinde Wirth DEM · Jefferson Shreve REP
  • District 7 André Carson DEM · James Sceniak LIB · Patrick McAuley REP
  • District 8 Mary Allen DEM · Mark B. Messmer REP
  • District 9 Brad Meyer DEM · Tonya Hudson LIB · Erin Houchin REP

Iowa

  • U.S. Senate Josh Turek DEM · Thomas Laehn LIB · Ashley Hinson REP Toss Up Cook Political Report · as of 2026-08-20

    Cook moved Iowa from Lean Republican to Toss Up on Aug 20, 2026, writing that Rep. Ashley Hinson is one of the GOP's best recruits but that the political environment is 'uniquely challenging' for Republicans there (Cook race page; Spectrum News, Aug 20, 2026).

  • District 1 Christina Bohannan DEM · Michael Bridgford IND · Mariannette Miller-Meeks REP
  • District 2 Lindsay James DEM · Dave Bushaw IND · Rick Stewart LIB · Joe Mitchell REP
  • District 3 Sarah Trone Garriott DEM · Zach Nunn REP
  • District 4 Dave Dawson DEM · Chris McGowan REP

Kansas

  • U.S. Senate Adam Hamilton DEM · David Graham LIB · Roger Marshall REP
  • District 1 Lauren Reinhold DEM · Steven Jacob LIB · Tracey Mann REP
  • District 2 Don Coover DEM · John Hauer LIB · Derek Schmidt REP
  • District 3 Sharice Davids DEM · Steven A. Hohe LIB · Eric Jenkins REP
  • District 4 Katy Tyndell DEM · Drew Cranmer LIB · Ron Estes REP

Kentucky

  • U.S. Senate Charles Booker DEM · Christopher Campbell OTH · Andy Barr REP
  • District 1 John Drew Williams DEM · James Comer REP
  • District 2 Megan Wingfield DEM · Thomas A. Loecken IND · Brett Guthrie REP
  • District 3 Morgan McGarvey DEM · Maria Teresa Rodriguez REP
  • District 4 Melissa Claire Strange DEM · Jeremy Todd LIB · Ed Gallrein REP
  • District 5 Ned Pillersdorf DEM · Gerardo Serrano IND · Mikel Wein IND · Hal Rogers REP
  • District 6 Zach Dembo DEM · Jay J. Bowman IND · Pete Lynch OTH · Ralph Alvarado REP

Louisiana

  • U.S. Senate Jamie Davis DEM · Julia Letlow REP
  • District 1 Lauren Jewett DEM · E. Liddy Glass IND · Randall Arrington REP · Steve Scalise REP
  • District 2 Troy Carter DEM · Renada Collins IND · Walter Beach IND · Lisa Ballay LIB · Peter Williams REP
  • District 3 Caleb With a C Walker DEM · John Day DEM · Priscilla Gonzalez DEM · Tia LeBrun IND · Clay Higgins REP · Kate Cotten REP
  • District 4 Conrad Cable DEM · Matt Gromlich DEM · Gordon Heslop REP · Mike Johnson REP · Mike Nichols REP
  • District 5 Antonio Wilson DEM · Dan McKay DEM · Pat Moore DEM · Austin Magee REP · Gabe Firment REP · Michael Echols REP · Misti Cordell REP · Oscar Dantzler REP · Stewart Cathey REP
  • District 6 Chauna Banks DEM · Lindsay Rubia Garcia DEM · Patrick Pat Forbes DEM · Rufus Craig LIB · Blake Miguez REP · Larry Davis III REP · Michael Mebruer REP · Monique Appeaning REP · Rick Edmonds REP · Stephen Wagley REP

Maine

Maryland

  • District 1 Dan Schwartz DEM · Andy Harris REP
  • District 2 Johnny Olszewski, Jr. DEM · Dave Wallace REP
  • District 3 Sarah Elfreth DEM · Berney Flowers REP
  • District 4 Glenn Ivey DEM · Sam Husseini GRN · George E. McDermott REP
  • District 5 Adrian Boafo DEM · Chris Chaffee REP
  • District 6 April McClain Delaney DEM · Moshe Y. Landman GRN · Robin Ficker REP
  • District 7 Kweisi Mfume DEM · Scott M. Collier REP
  • District 8 Jamie Raskin DEM · Nancy Wallace GRN · Cheryl Riley REP

Massachusetts

  • U.S. Senate Edward J. Markey DEM · Shiva Ayyadurai IND · Joe Tache OTH · John Deaton REP
  • District 1 Richard E. Neal DEM · Nadia Donya Milleron IND
  • District 2 James P. McGovern DEM
  • District 3 Lori Loureiro Trahan DEM · Dennis R. Conlon IND · Gary J. Grossi REP
  • District 4 Jake Auchincloss DEM · Thomas Stalcup REP
  • District 5 Katherine M. Clark DEM
  • District 6 Dan Koh DEM · Micah Quinney Jones REP
  • District 7 Ayanna S. Pressley DEM
  • District 8 Stephen F. Lynch DEM · Rasheed Nicholas Walters IND · Robert Gerald Burke REP
  • District 9 Bill Keating DEM · R. Tyler Macallister REP

Michigan

  • U.S. Senate Abdul El-Sayed DEM · Douglas P. Marsh GRN · Lydia Christensen LIB · Tim Long OTH · Walter P. Kristy OTH · Mike Rogers REP Toss Up Cook Political Report · as of 2025-02-11

    The only open Democratic-held seat in a state Trump won in 2024 (by 1.4 points), rated Toss Up by Cook since its first 2026 ratings on Feb 11, 2025 (Cook race page; Wikipedia).

  • District 1 Callie Barr DEM · LaVeta Davenport GRN · Zebulon Featherly IND · Arnett Satterla LIB · Doc Kovaly OTH · Liz Hakola OTH · Jack Bergman REP
  • District 2 Ben Ambrose DEM · Charlotte Magoon GRN · Richard Sills OTH · John Moolenaar REP
  • District 3 Hillary Scholten DEM · Joe Jock GRN · Terri DeBoer REP
  • District 4 Sean McCann DEM · Shafina Che Barnett GRN · Bill Huizenga REP
  • District 5 Christian Vukasovich DEM · Jim Bronke GRN · Ronald A Muszynski LIB · Sharon Marie Renier OTH · Tim Walberg REP
  • District 6 Debbie Dingell DEM · Clyde Shabazz GRN · Timothy A. Teagan LIB · Linda Rayburn OTH · Mike Mickevicius OTH · Heather Smiley REP
  • District 7 William Lawrence DEM · Shane Dedrick GRN · Tom Barrett REP
  • District 8 Kristen McDonald Rivet DEM · Jim Casha GRN · C. Mia Pettus LIB · Kathy Goodwin OTH · Thomas J. Smith REP
  • District 9 Ray Pooley DEM · Destiny Clayton GRN · Kevin Vayko LIB · Jim Walkowicz OTH · John Vlahos OTH · Lisa McClain REP
  • District 10 Christina Bertrand Hines DEM · Kwabena Nkromo GRN · Mike Saliba LIB · Andrea L. Kirby OTH · Michael Bouchard REP
  • District 11 Jeremy Moss DEM · Ryan Teasdale GRN · Anil Kumar IND · Farid Ishac LIB · Ethan Baker REP
  • District 12 Rashida Tlaib DEM · Brenda K. Sanders GRN · Gary Walkowicz OTH · Marc Joseph Sosnowski OTH · James D. Hooper REP
  • District 13 Chris Dardzinski CON · Donavan McKinney DEM · Raelyn Light GRN · Simone R. Coleman OTH · T.P. Nykoriak REP

Minnesota

  • U.S. Senate Peggy Flanagan DEM · Marisa Simonetti IND · Rebecca Whiting LIB · Michele Tafoya REP
  • District 1 Jake Johnson DEM · Brad Finstad REP
  • District 2 Matt Little DEM · Eric Pratt REP
  • District 3 Kelly Morrison DEM · Tyler Bass REP
  • District 4 Betty McCollum DEM · Paul Wikstrom REP
  • District 5 Ilhan Omar DEM · DeVelle L. Jackson IND · John Nagel REP
  • District 6 Doug Chapin DEM · Tom Emmer REP
  • District 7 Erik Osberg DEM · Michelle Fischbach REP
  • District 8 Trina Swanson DEM · Pete Stauber REP

Mississippi

  • U.S. Senate Scott Colom DEM · Ty Pinkins IND · Cindy Hyde-Smith REP
  • District 1 Cliff Johnson DEM · Johnny Baucom LIB · Trent Kelly REP
  • District 2 Bennie G. Thompson DEM · Bennie Foster IND · Ron Eller REP
  • District 3 Michael A. Chiaradio DEM · Erik Kiehle LIB · Michael Guest REP
  • District 4 Jeffrey Hulum III DEM · Carl Boyanton IND · Mike Ezell REP

Missouri

  • District 1 Wesley Bell DEM · Tom Schmitz LIB · Paul Berry III REP
  • District 2 Fred Wellman DEM · Brandon Coulter Daugherty LIB · Ann Wagner REP
  • District 3 Bethany E Mann DEM · Jim Higgins LIB · Bob Onder REP
  • District 4 Jordan Herrera DEM · Thomas Holbrook LIB · Mark Alford REP
  • District 5 Emanuel Cleaver, II DEM · Randall Randy Langkraehr LIB · Rick Brattin REP
  • District 6 Josh Smead DEM · Andy Maidment LIB · Chris Stigall REP
  • District 7 Missi Hesketh DEM · Kevin Craig LIB · Eric Burlison REP
  • District 8 Chris Reichard DEM · Rebecca Sharpe Lombard LIB · Jason Smith REP

Montana

  • U.S. Senate Alani Bankhead DEM · Seth Bodnar IND · Kurt Alme REP Solid R Cook Political Report · as of 2025-02-11

    Included as the cycle's three-way race; Cook still rates it Solid R (race page 'last updated Feb 11, 2025'); Inside Elections moved it from Solid R to Likely R on March 10, 2026 (Roll Call) and rates it Solid R as of Sept 3, 2026 (Wikipedia ratings table, read Sept 13, 2026).

  • District 1 Sam Forstag DEM · Nick Sheedy LIB · Aaron Flint REP
  • District 2 Brian J. Miller DEM · Michael D. Eisenhauer IND · Patrick McCracken LIB · Troy Downing REP

Nebraska

  • U.S. Senate Dan Osborn IND · Chuck Conboy OTH · Mike Marvin OTH · Robin Richards OTH · Pete Ricketts REP
  • District 1 Chris Backemeyer DEM · Nik Sandman LIB · Dan Hartong OTH · Mike Flood REP
  • District 2 Denise Powell DEM · Eric Michael Foreman LIB · Brinker Harding REP
  • District 3 Becky Kelly Stille DEM · Mark Cohen IND · David J. Else OTH · Macey Budke OTH · Adrian Smith REP

Nevada

  • District 1 Dina Titus DEM · Afzal Bobby Khan IND · Steven Chap St. John IND · Carrie Ann Buck REP
  • District 2 Teresa F. Benitez-Thompson DEM · Lynn Chapman OTH · David Flippo REP
  • District 3 Susie Lee DEM · Jon Kamerath OTH · Marty O'Donnell REP
  • District 4 Steven Horsford DEM · William Johnson IND · Russell Best OTH · Cody K. Whipple REP

New Hampshire

  • U.S. Senate Edmond Laplante CON · Chris Pappas DEM · John E. Sununu REP Lean D Cook Political Report · as of 2025-02-11

    Rated Lean D since Cook's first 2026 ratings on Feb 11, 2025, but Cook's summary says Republicans are 'bullish' after polling showed a statistical tie between Rep. Chris Pappas and former Sen. John E. Sununu (Cook race page).

  • District 1 Stefany Shaheen DEM · Anthony DiLorenzo REP
  • District 2 Maggie Goodlander DEM · Robbie Mahrou IND · Lily Tang Williams REP

New Jersey

  • U.S. Senate Cory A. Booker DEM · Joanne Kuniansky OTH · Veronica Fernandez OTH · Justin Murphy REP
  • District 1 Donald Norcross DEM · Damon Galdo REP
  • District 2 Zack Mullock DEM · Ramon Mora Jr. IND · Jeff Van Drew REP
  • District 3 Herb Conaway DEM · Steven Welzer GRN · Ryan Michael Kelly OTH · Michael P. McGuire REP
  • District 4 Rachel Peace DEM · Christopher H. Smith REP
  • District 5 Josh Gottheimer DEM · Adam Rueda OTH · Sean Kirrane REP
  • District 6 Frank Pallone Jr. DEM · Hillary Herzig REP
  • District 7 Rebecca Bennett DEM · Seamus Patrick O'Toole OTH · Thomas H. Kean Jr. REP
  • District 8 Rob Menendez DEM · Aristotle Eliopoulos IND · Craig Honts OTH · Da'Shone Hughey OTH
  • District 9 Nellie Pou DEM · Terrisa Bukovinac OTH · Rosie Pino REP
  • District 10 LaMonica McIver DEM · Carmen Bucco REP
  • District 11 Analilia Mejia DEM · Alan B. Bond OTH · Joe Hathaway REP
  • District 12 Adam Hamawy DEM · Andres Jinete GRN · Winston Jordan OTH · Gregg Mele REP

New Mexico

  • U.S. Senate Ben Ray Luján DEM · Larry E. Marker REP
  • District 1 Melanie Ann Stansbury DEM · Ndidiamaka Okpareke REP
  • District 2 Gabriel Vasquez DEM · Greg Cunningham REP
  • District 3 Teresa Leger Fernandez DEM · Martin Ruben Zamora REP

New York

  • District 1 Christopher J. Gallant DEM · Nicholas J. Lalota REP
  • District 2 Patrick Halpin DEM · Andrew R. Garbarino REP
  • District 3 Thomas R. Suozzi DEM · Michael J. LiPetri Jr REP
  • District 4 Laura A. Gillen DEM · Blay Tarnoff LIB · Jeanine C. Driscoll REP
  • District 5 Gregory W. Meeks DEM · George Marsh REP
  • District 6 Grace Meng DEM · Joseph Chou REP
  • District 7 Claire Valdez DEM · Priscilla Ghaznavi OTH · Melvin Rivera REP
  • District 8 Hakeem S. Jeffries DEM · Lewis Mizrahi REP
  • District 9 Yvette D. Clarke DEM · Joel Azumah REP
  • District 10 Brad Lander DEM · Jennifer E. Moore REP
  • District 11 Mike DeCillis DEM · Nicole Malliotakis REP
  • District 12 Micah C. Lasher DEM · Karen Ortiz OTH · Wilneida Negron OTH · Caroline Shinkle REP
  • District 13 Darializa Avila Chevalier DEM · Jomo M. Williams REP
  • District 14 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez DEM · Diamant Hysenaj REP
  • District 15 Ritchie Torres DEM · Andre Easton OTH · Gonzalo Duran OTH · Jose Vega OTH · Stylo Sapaskis REP
  • District 16 George S. Latimer DEM · Joseph J. Cinquemani REP
  • District 17 Cait Conley DEM · Mike Lawler REP
  • District 18 Pat Ryan DEM · Jackie Mary Auringer REP
  • District 19 Josh Riley DEM · Peter K. Oberacker REP
  • District 20 Paul D. Tonko DEM · Ralph F. Ambrosio REP
  • District 21 Blake Gendebien DEM · Anthony Constantino REP
  • District 22 John W. Mannion DEM · Kailee Buller REP
  • District 23 Aaron Gies DEM · Nicholas A. Langworthy REP
  • District 24 Alissa J. Ellman DEM · Claudia Tenney REP
  • District 25 Joseph D. Morelle DEM · Virginia E. McIntyre REP
  • District 26 Timothy M. Kennedy DEM · Dennis E. Hannon REP

North Carolina

  • U.S. Senate Roy Cooper DEM · Michael Dublin GRN · Shannon W. Bray LIB · Michael Whatley REP Lean D Cook Political Report · as of 2026-04-13

    Cook calls this 'the GOP seat Democrats are most likely to flip' and moved it from Toss Up to Lean D on April 13, 2026 (Cook race page; Fox News, April 13, 2026) - the only Republican-held seat Cook rates in the Democratic column.

  • District 1 Don Davis DEM · Tom Bailey LIB · Laurie Buckhout REP
  • District 2 Deborah K. Ross DEM · Matthew Laszacs LIB · Eugene F. Douglass REP
  • District 3 Raymond Smith DEM · Daniel Cavender LIB · Greg Murphy REP
  • District 4 Valerie P. Foushee DEM · Guy Meilleur LIB · Mahesh Max Ganorkar REP
  • District 5 Chuck Hubbard DEM · Robert B. Luffman LIB · Virginia Foxx REP
  • District 6 Cyril Jefferson DEM · Addison McDowell REP
  • District 7 Kimberly Hardy DEM · Maad Abu-Ghazalah LIB · David Rouzer REP
  • District 8 Colby Watson DEM · Bo Whitehead GRN · Mark Harris REP
  • District 9 Richard N. Ojeda II DEM · Richard Hudson REP
  • District 10 Ashley Bell DEM · Steven Feldman LIB · Pat Harrigan REP
  • District 11 Jamie Ager DEM · Travis Groo LIB · Jennifer Capps Balkcom REP
  • District 12 Alma S. Adams DEM · Jack Codiga REP
  • District 13 Paul Barringer DEM · Steven Swinton LIB · Brad Knott REP
  • District 14 Lakesha Womack DEM · Tim Moore REP

North Dakota

  • At-large Trygve Hammer DEM · Charles Tuttle IND · Helene Neville IND · Julie Fedorchak REP

Ohio

  • U.S. Senate (special) Sherrod Brown DEM · Greg Levy IND · Jon Husted REP Toss Up Cook Political Report · as of 2026-04-13

    Cook moved this special election from Lean Republican to Toss Up on April 13, 2026, citing former Sen. Sherrod Brown's $12.5 million first-quarter haul and polls showing a dead heat (Cook race page; Fox News, April 13, 2026).

  • District 1 Greg Landsman DEM · Nathan Weise LIB · Eric Conroy REP
  • District 2 Jen Mazzuckelli DEM · David J. Taylor REP
  • District 3 Joyce Beatty DEM · Cleophus Dulaney REP
  • District 4 Joshua D. Kolasinski DEM · Tracey L. Tackett IND · Jim Jordan REP
  • District 5 Brian A. Shaver DEM · Michael J. Veloff LIB · Robert E. Latta REP
  • District 6 Elizabeth Kirtley DEM · Michael A. Rulli REP
  • District 7 Brian Poindexter DEM · Max L. Miller REP
  • District 8 Vanessa Enoch DEM · Warren Davidson REP
  • District 9 Marcy Kaptur DEM · Derek Merrin REP
  • District 10 Kristina Knickerbocker DEM · Thomas F. McMasters LIB · Michael R. Turner REP
  • District 11 Shontel M. Brown DEM · Mike Kirchner REP
  • District 12 Jerrad Christian DEM · Troy Balderson REP
  • District 13 Emilia Strong Sykes DEM · Sandeep Dixit IND · Carey Coleman REP
  • District 14 Maria Jukic DEM · David Joyce REP
  • District 15 Don Leonard DEM · Brennan Barrington LIB · Mike Carey REP

Oklahoma

  • U.S. Senate N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas DEM · Curtis Stinnett IND · Ron Meinhardt IND · Sevier White LIB · Kevin Hern REP
  • District 1 John Croisant DEM · Mark Tedford REP
  • District 2 Brandon Wade DEM · Ronnie Hopkins IND · Josh Brecheen REP
  • District 3 Suzie Byrd DEM · Frank Lucas REP
  • District 4 Mitchell Jacob DEM · Rocco Bonacci IND · Tom Cole REP
  • District 5 Jena Nelson DEM · Austin Nieves IND · Robert P. Henri IND · Stephanie I. Bice REP

Oregon

  • U.S. Senate Jeff Merkley DEM · Gary Dye LIB · Chris Henry OTH · David Brock Smith REP
  • District 1 Suzanne Bonamici DEM · Barbara Kahl REP
  • District 2 Chris Beck DEM · Cliff Bentz REP
  • District 3 Maxine Dexter DEM · Loran Ayles REP
  • District 4 Val T. Hoyle DEM · Justin Filip GRN · Monique DeSpain REP
  • District 5 Janelle S. Bynum DEM · Andrea Townsend GRN · Patti Adair REP
  • District 6 Andrea Salinas DEM · David Russ REP

Pennsylvania

Rhode Island

  • U.S. Senate Jack Reed DEM · Michael Bahry IND · Raymond McKay REP
  • District 1 Gabe Amo DEM · Pedro Junior Soares DeSouza IND · Kellie Eleanor Keenan REP
  • District 2 Seth Magaziner DEM · Victor Mellor REP

South Carolina

  • U.S. Senate Mark Hackett CON · Annie Andrews DEM · Kasie Whitener LIB · Darline Graham REP
  • District 1 Nancy Lacore DEM · Bill Reeside LIB · Jenny Costa Honeycut REP
  • District 2 Zyon Khalifa DEM · Dayna Alane Smith OTH · Joe Wilson REP
  • District 3 Eunice Lehmacher DEM · Brian Corriea LIB · Sheri Biggs REP
  • District 4 Courtney McClain DEM · Jessica Ethridge LIB · William Timmons REP
  • District 5 Mallory Dittmer DEM · Wes Climer REP
  • District 6 James Clyburn DEM · John Peterson REP
  • District 7 John Vincent DEM · Russell Fry REP

South Dakota

  • U.S. Senate Brian L. Bengs IND · Mike Rounds REP
  • At-large Nicole Nikki Gronli DEM · Marty Jackley REP

Tennessee

  • U.S. Senate Marquita Bradshaw DEM · Andrew Gerena IND · Catherine Barcel Barcy Whitson IND · David Sutman Jr. IND · James William Macon III IND · Jeremy Dean Hearn IND · Robert Jones IND · Tharon Chandler IND · Yoshi D. Matthews IND · Bill Hagerty REP
  • District 1 Kristi Burke DEM · Billy Cody IND · Chris Campbell IND · Joshua Ray Ashburn IND · Richard Baker IND · Tyler McClain IND · Diana Harshbarger REP
  • District 2 Michaela Barnett DEM · Adam Heimerman IND · Bruce Fine IND · Tim Burchett REP
  • District 3 Anna Golladay DEM · Dean Arnold IND · Donnie Lynn Ownby IND · Edward John Roland IND · Jean Howard-Hill IND · Rodney Joe King IND · Charles J. Chuck Fleischmann REP
  • District 4 Victoria Broderick DEM · Clay Faircloth IND · Jacob Kristopher Anders IND · Scott DesJarlais REP
  • District 5 Chaz Molder DEM · James Johnson IND · Micheál O'Leary IND · Charlie Hatcher REP
  • District 6 Mike Croley DEM · Angus Purdy IND · Christopher B. Monday IND · Johnny Garrett REP
  • District 7 Darden Copeland DEM · Andrew J. Koontz IND · Lowell Reynolds IND · Matt Van Epps REP
  • District 8 Heidi Kuhn DEM · Adam Austill IND · Antonio Futch IND · Henry Ward III IND · Horace Taylor IND · Pamela Moses IND · Wendell Blankenship IND · David Kustoff REP
  • District 9 Justin J. Pearson DEM · Dennis Jeffrey Clark IND · Michelle Davis Head IND · Brent Taylor REP

Texas

  • U.S. Senate James Talarico DEM · Ted Brown LIB · Ken Paxton REP Toss Up Cook Political Report · as of 2026-08-20

    Cook moved Texas from Lean Republican to Toss Up on Aug 20, 2026 (Cook race page, 'last updated Aug 20, 2026'; Washington Post and Spectrum News, Aug 20, 2026), a state Trump carried by double digits in 2024.

  • District 1 Yolanda R. Prince DEM · Nathaniel Moran REP
  • District 2 Shaun Finnie DEM · Steve Toth REP
  • District 3 Evan Hunt DEM · Keith Self REP
  • District 4 Jason Pearce DEM · Pat Fallon REP
  • District 5 Chelsey Hockett DEM · Lance Gooden REP
  • District 6 Danny Minton DEM · Jake Ellzey REP
  • District 7 Lizzie Pannill Fletcher DEM · Espoir Ngabo GRN · Alexander Hale REP
  • District 8 Laura Jones DEM · Jessica Hart Steinmann REP
  • District 9 Leticia Gutierrez DEM · Alex Mealer REP
  • District 10 Caitlin Rourk DEM · Chris Gober REP
  • District 11 Claire Reynolds DEM · August Pfluger REP
  • District 12 Angela Heli Rodriguez Prilliman DEM · Craig Goldman REP
  • District 13 Mark Nair DEM · Ronny Jackson REP
  • District 14 Thurman Bill Bartie DEM · Randy Weber REP
  • District 15 Bobby Pulido DEM · Monica De La Cruz REP
  • District 16 Veronica Escobar DEM · Adam Bauman REP
  • District 17 Casey Shepard DEM · Pete Sessions REP
  • District 18 Christian Dashaun Menefee DEM · Ronald Dwayne Whitfield REP
  • District 19 Kyle Rable DEM · Tom Sell REP
  • District 20 Joaquin Castro DEM · Edgardo Rafael Baez REP
  • District 21 Kristin Hook DEM · Mark Teixeira REP
  • District 22 Marquette Greene-Scott DEM · Trever Nehls REP
  • District 23 Katy Padilla Stout DEM · Ben Mendoza IND · Brandon Herrera REP
  • District 24 Kevin Burge DEM · Beth Van Duyne REP
  • District 25 Dione Sims DEM · Roger Williams REP
  • District 26 Steven Shook DEM · Phil Gray LIB · Brandon Gill REP
  • District 27 Tanya Lloyd DEM · Michael Cloud REP
  • District 28 Henry Cuellar DEM · Marlón Durán GRN · Tano E. Tijerina REP
  • District 29 Sylvia Garcia DEM · Martha Fierro REP
  • District 30 Frederick D. Haynes III DEM · Everett Jackson REP
  • District 31 Justin Early DEM · Greg Stoker GRN · John Carter REP
  • District 32 Dan Barrios DEM · Jace Yarbrough REP
  • District 33 Colin Allred DEM · Patrick David Gillespie REP
  • District 34 Vicente Gonzalez DEM · Eddie Espinoza GRN · Chris Royal LIB · Eric Flores REP
  • District 35 Johnny C. Garcia DEM · Carlos De La Cruz REP
  • District 36 Rhonda Hart DEM · Brian Babin REP
  • District 37 Greg Casar DEM · Lauren B. Peña REP
  • District 38 Melissa McDonough DEM · Alex McMenemy GRN · Jon Bonck REP

Utah

  • District 1 Ben McAdams DEM · Elias Henry Montgomery IND · Jesse West LIB · Riley Owen REP
  • District 2 Peter Crosby DEM · Robert M. Moesinger IND · Daniel Cottam LIB · Carlton E. Bowen OTH · Blake D. Moore REP
  • District 3 Cassie Easley CON · Kent S. Udell DEM · Adonis Hooslyn IND · Ayden Scott IND · Michael R. Stoddard LIB · Celeste Maloy REP
  • District 4 Jonny Larsen DEM · Steven Burt IND · Taylor Wright LIB · Mike Kennedy REP

Vermont

  • At-large Becca Balint DEM · Adam Ortiz IND · Phoenix K. Altair IND · Ryan P. Walton IND · Suzanne Suz Seymour IND · Gerald Malloy REP

Virginia

  • U.S. Senate Mark R. Warner DEM · Bert Mizusawa REP
  • District 1 Shannon L. Taylor DEM · Robert J. Rob Wittman REP
  • District 2 Elaine G. Luria DEM · Geral D. Bishop Staten IND · J. Matt Baker IND · Jen A. Kiggans REP
  • District 3 Robert C. Bobby Scott DEM · Makiba A. Gaines IND · Stephen C. Woll IND · Edwin Rivera Jr. REP
  • District 4 Jennifer L. McClellan DEM · Joan E. Andrews Bell IND · Robert P. Family Man Murray, Jr. REP
  • District 5 Tom S. P. Perriello DEM · Cooke C. Harvey IND · John J. McGuire III REP
  • District 6 Beth A. Macy DEM · Ben L. Cline REP
  • District 7 Eugene S. Vindman DEM · Alaha Ahrar IND · Joshua E. Ertle IND · Randall A. Terry IND · Taner E. Demirci Lopez LIB · Doug A. Ollivant REP
  • District 8 Donald S. Beyer Jr. DEM · Tim S. Sharman IND · Shelly M. Arnoldi LIB · Tony A. Sabio REP
  • District 9 Joy A. Powers DEM · H. Morgan Griffith REP
  • District 10 Suhas Subramanyam DEM · Ahsen Mujeeb Malik IND · Dave T. Beckwith REP
  • District 11 James R. Walkinshaw DEM · Dianne L. Blais GRN · Arthur G. Purves REP

Washington

  • District 1 Suzan DelBene DEM · Mary Silva REP
  • District 2 Rick Larsen DEM · Edwin H. Feller REP
  • District 3 Marie Gluesenkamp Perez DEM · John Braun REP
  • District 4 John Duresky DEM · Amanda McKinney REP
  • District 5 Carmela Conroy DEM · Michael Baumgartner REP
  • District 6 Emily Randall DEM · Teresa Fox REP
  • District 7 Pramila Jayapal DEM · Nirav Sheth REP
  • District 8 Kim Schrier DEM · Spencer Meline REP
  • District 9 Adam Smith DEM · Doug Basler REP
  • District 10 Marilyn Strickland DEM · Chris D. Chung REP

West Virginia

  • U.S. Senate S. Marshall Wilson CON · Rachel Fetty Anderson DEM · Shelley Moore Capito REP
  • District 1 Belinda Fox-Spencer CON · Vince George DEM · Carol D. Miller REP
  • District 2 Ace Parsi DEM · Riley M. Moore REP

Wisconsin

  • District 1 Mitchell Berman DEM · Bryan Steil REP
  • District 2 Mark Pocan DEM
  • District 3 Rebecca Cooke DEM · Alexander Valiensi Kent IND · Rustin Provance IND · Derrick Van Orden REP
  • District 4 Gwen Moore DEM · Arthur Burks IND · Tim Rogers REP
  • District 5 Andrew Beck DEM · Scott Fitzgerald REP
  • District 6 Bradley Smith DEM · Matthew Arndt GRN · Elizabeth Fitzgibbon IND · Mike Thurow IND · Glenn Grothman REP
  • District 7 Fred Clark DEM · Michael Alfonso REP
  • District 8 Rick Crosson DEM · Tony Wied REP

Wyoming

  • U.S. Senate James Byrd DEM · Harriet M. Hageman REP
  • At-large Jeffrey Haggit CON · Lisa Kinney DEM · Shawn Johnson LIB · Chuck Gray REP

Ratings are third-party editorial calls, cited with their last-updated date; a race without one shows none. Money on each race page is the FEC candidate-level summary through the coverage date it names; polling, seat lean and the prior result carry their own as-of dates. Where district-level data is incomplete, estimates rest on available inputs. Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets

Sources: FEC filings · Polls: FiveThirtyEight / VoteHub (CC BY 4.0) · Prior results: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Ratings: Cook Political Report · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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