Race header
DEMAdvanced to the general
Aisha Wahab
incumbent
53%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
DEMAdvanced to the general
Melissa Hernandez
47%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentAisha Wahab
Hume Outlook
53% Aisha Wahab · DemocratLow confidenceChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM
Aisha Wahab
53%
DEM
Melissa Hernandez
47%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMWahabDEMHernandez
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Aisha Wahab$1,214,546.85
Melissa Hernandez$2,112,673.52
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Aisha Wahab$752,224.52
Melissa Hernandez$2,004,315.43
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Aisha Wahab$462,322.33
Melissa Hernandez$108,358.09
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Aisha WahabNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Melissa HernandezNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Aisha WahabNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Melissa HernandezNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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