IN-09 House 2026 · Hidden Levers

Race header

U.S. House, Indiana District 9 · Incumbent running

DEMNominee

Brad Meyer

3%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

LIBOn the ballot

Tonya Hudson

—Not published for this candidate

REPNominee

Erin Houchin incumbent

97%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

IncumbentErin Houchin

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026

97% Erin Houchin · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates

REP Erin Houchin 97%

DEM Brad Meyer 3%

Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets

Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI) R+16 as of cycle 2020

Prior result, this seat REP 64.5% 2024 general · margin 31.7%

Side by side

3 candidates · 5 measures

FEC summary through 2026-10-14

MeasureDEMMeyerLIBHudsonREPHouchin

Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees

Brad Meyer$203,411.20

Tonya Hudson$1,822.38

Erin Houchin$2,205,947.56

Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date

Brad Meyer$168,834.95

Tonya Hudson$2,073.12

Erin Houchin$2,019,255.52

Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period

Brad Meyer$28,806.83

Tonya Hudson$-250.74

Erin Houchin$928,735.90

Latest pollpercent, as stored

Brad MeyerNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Tonya HudsonNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Erin HouchinNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate

Brad MeyerR+16seat-level

Tonya HudsonR+16seat-level

Erin HouchinR+16seat-level

Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean · Hume PVI

as of cycle 2020

R+16

Lean (D minus R, points): -16.191

Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

Prior result, this seat

election returns

2024 general

Candidate	Party	Votes	% of total
Erin Houchin	REP	222,884	64.47%
Timothy “Tim” Peck	DEM	113,400	32.80%
Russell “Russ” Brooksbank	LIB	9,454	2.73%

Total votes 345,738 · winning margin 31.67% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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