AZ-08 House 2026 · Hidden Levers

Race header

U.S. House, Arizona District 8 · Incumbent running

DEMNominee

Bernadette Greene-Placentia

18%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

REPNominee

Abraham J. Hamadeh incumbent

82%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

IncumbentAbraham J. Hamadeh

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026

82% Abraham J. Hamadeh · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates

REP Abraham J. Hamadeh 82%

DEM Bernadette Greene-Placentia 18%

Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets

Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI) R+10 as of cycle 2020

Prior result, this seat REP 56.5% 2024 general · margin 13.0%

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures

FEC summary through 2026-10-14

MeasureDEMGreene-PlacentiaREPHamadeh

Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees

Bernadette Greene-Placentia$372,825.77

Abraham J. Hamadeh$1,434,538.03

Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date

Bernadette Greene-Placentia$28,739.31

Abraham J. Hamadeh$1,284,405.67

Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period

Bernadette Greene-Placentia$152,740.36

Abraham J. Hamadeh$186,540.96

Latest pollpercent, as stored

Bernadette Greene-PlacentiaNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Abraham J. HamadehNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate

Bernadette Greene-PlacentiaR+10seat-level

Abraham J. HamadehR+10seat-level

Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean · Hume PVI

as of cycle 2020

R+10

Lean (D minus R, points): -9.725

Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

Prior result, this seat

election returns

2024 general

Candidate	Party	Votes	% of total
Abraham J. Hamadeh	REP	208,269	56.50%
Gregory Whitten	DEM	160,344	43.50%

Total votes 368,613 · winning margin 13.00% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

Federal law prohibits the sale or use of contributor information copied from FEC reports, by any person, for the purpose of soliciting contributions (including charitable contributions) or for any commercial purpose. 52 U.S.C. §30111(a)(4); 11 C.F.R. §104.15. Hidden Levers does not provide contributor contact information.