Race header
DEMNominee
Thurman Bill Bartie
4%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Randy Weber
incumbent
96%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentRandy Weber
Hume Outlook
96% Randy Weber · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
Randy Weber
96%
DEM
Thurman Bill Bartie
4%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMBartieREPWeber
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Thurman Bill Bartie$39,403.19
Randy Weber$1,132,031.98
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Thurman Bill Bartie$38,564.42
Randy Weber$823,759.17
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Thurman Bill Bartie$4,754.11
Randy Weber$928,845.02
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Thurman Bill BartieNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Randy WeberNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Thurman Bill BartieNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Randy WeberNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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