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Race · U.S. House · New York · 2026

New York District 7 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, New York District 7

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Race header

U.S. House, New York District 7 · Open seat
DEMNominee
Claire Valdez
>99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
OTHOn the ballot
Priscilla Ghaznavi
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Melvin Rivera
<1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentNot available

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
>99% Claire Valdez · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Claire Valdez >99%
REP Melvin Rivera <1%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+31 as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat DEM 78.1% 2024 general · margin 56.2%

Side by side

3 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMValdezOTHGhaznaviREPRivera
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Claire Valdez$1,915,867.24
Priscilla Ghaznavi$40,055.00
Melvin RiveraNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Claire Valdez$1,805,437.70
Priscilla Ghaznavi$26,876.42
Melvin RiveraNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Claire Valdez$110,429.54
Priscilla Ghaznavi$13,178.58
Melvin RiveraNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Claire ValdezNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Priscilla GhaznaviNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Melvin RiveraNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Claire ValdezD+31seat-level
Priscilla GhaznaviD+31seat-level
Melvin RiveraD+31seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2020
    D+31
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    +30.854

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2024 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    Nydia M. VelázquezDEM172,79578.11%
    Bill KreglerREP48,43521.89%

    Total votes 221,230 · winning margin 56.21% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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