Race header
DEMNominee
Vicente Gonzalez
incumbent
75%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
GRNOn the ballot
Eddie Espinoza
—Not published for this candidate
LIBOn the ballot
Chris Royal
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Eric Flores
25%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentVicente Gonzalez
Hume Outlook
75% Vicente Gonzalez · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM
Vicente Gonzalez
75%
REP
Eric Flores
25%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Gonzalez 50.0% · Flores 43.0% · Espinoza 2.0% · Royal 1.0%
The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government · 2026-10-19
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
4 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMGonzalezGRNEspinozaLIBRoyalREPFlores
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Vicente Gonzalez$5,211,344.04
Eddie EspinozaNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Chris RoyalNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Eric Flores$4,009,073.67
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Vicente Gonzalez$4,096,454.52
Eddie EspinozaNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Chris RoyalNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Eric Flores$3,762,621.40
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Vicente Gonzalez$1,396,949.28
Eddie EspinozaNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Chris RoyalNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Eric Flores$246,427.27
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Vicente Gonzalez50.0%The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government · 2026-10-19
Eddie Espinoza2.0%The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government · 2026-10-19
Chris Royal1.0%The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government · 2026-10-19
Eric Flores43.0%The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government · 2026-10-19
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Vicente GonzalezNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Eddie EspinozaNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Chris RoyalNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Eric FloresNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
2 listed · newest first| Pollster / sponsor | Field dates | Sample | Gonzalez | Espinoza | Royal | Flores | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | 2026-10-14 to 2026-10-19 | LV · n=626 | 50.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 43.0% | none |
| Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center | 2026-07-27 to 2026-07-30 | LV · n=700 | 45.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 42.0% | none |
Polling data CC BY 4.0 (FiveThirtyEight / VoteHub).
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Polls: FiveThirtyEight / VoteHub (CC BY 4.0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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