Race header
DEMNominee
Jared Moskowitz
incumbent
78%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
LIBOn the ballot
Peter Jassenoff
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Scott Singer
22%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentJared Moskowitz
Hume Outlook
78% Jared Moskowitz · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM
Jared Moskowitz
78%
REP
Scott Singer
22%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Moskowitz 47.0% · Singer 42.0%
Public Policy Polling / House Majority PAC · 2026-10-22
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
3 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMMoskowitzLIBJassenoffREPSinger
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Jared Moskowitz$5,710,776.47through 2026-10-14
Peter Jassenoff$10,500.00through 2026-06-30
Scott Singer$3,255,312.89through 2026-10-14
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Jared Moskowitz$4,849,990.04through 2026-10-14
Peter Jassenoff$10,440.00through 2026-06-30
Scott Singer$2,788,688.37through 2026-10-14
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Jared Moskowitz$1,210,073.13through 2026-10-14
Peter Jassenoff$60.00through 2026-06-30
Scott Singer$466,624.52through 2026-10-14
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Jared Moskowitz47.0%Public Policy Polling · 2026-10-22
Peter JassenoffNot available Not named in the newest listed poll (2026-10-22)
Scott Singer42.0%Public Policy Polling · 2026-10-22
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Jared MoskowitzNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Peter JassenoffNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Scott SingerNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
1 listed · newest first| Pollster / sponsor | Field dates | Sample | Moskowitz | Jassenoff | Singer | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy PollingHouse Majority PAC | 2026-10-21 to 2026-10-22 | LV · n=592 | 47.0% | not named | 42.0% | none |
Polling data CC BY 4.0 (FiveThirtyEight / VoteHub).
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Jun 30, 2026 or Oct 14, 2026, by candidate) · Polls: FiveThirtyEight / VoteHub (CC BY 4.0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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