IN-06 House 2026 · Hidden Levers

Race header

U.S. House, Indiana District 6 · Incumbent running

DEMNominee

Cynthia Cinde Wirth

3%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

REPNominee

Jefferson Shreve incumbent

97%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

IncumbentJefferson Shreve

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026

97% Jefferson Shreve · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates

REP Jefferson Shreve 97%

DEM Cynthia Cinde Wirth 3%

Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets

Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI) R+19 as of cycle 2020

Prior result, this seat REP 63.9% 2024 general · margin 32.2%

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures

FEC summary through 2026-10-14

MeasureDEMWirthREPShreve

Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees

Cynthia Cinde Wirth$91,566.02

Jefferson Shreve$2,534,240.42

Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date

Cynthia Cinde Wirth$65,028.04

Jefferson Shreve$1,481,262.36

Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period

Cynthia Cinde Wirth$26,537.98

Jefferson Shreve$1,184,692.85

Latest pollpercent, as stored

Cynthia Cinde WirthNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Jefferson ShreveNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate

Cynthia Cinde WirthR+19seat-level

Jefferson ShreveR+19seat-level

Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean · Hume PVI

as of cycle 2020

R+19

Lean (D minus R, points): -19.398

Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

Prior result, this seat

election returns

2024 general

Candidate	Party	Votes	% of total
Jefferson Shreve	REP	201,357	63.94%
Cynthia “Cinde” Wirth	DEM	99,841	31.70%
James Michael Sceniak	LIB	13,711	4.35%

Total votes 314,909 · winning margin 32.24% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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