Race header
DEMNominee
Veronica Escobar
incumbent
99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Adam Bauman
1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentVeronica Escobar
Hume Outlook
99% Veronica Escobar · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM
Veronica Escobar
99%
REP
Adam Bauman
1%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMEscobarREPBauman
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Veronica Escobar$1,068,096.19
Adam Bauman$3,293.00
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Veronica Escobar$967,172.79
Adam Bauman$520.00
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Veronica Escobar$216,768.02
Adam Bauman$2,857.72
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Veronica EscobarNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Adam BaumanNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Veronica EscobarNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Adam BaumanNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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