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Race · U.S. House · West Virginia · 2026

West Virginia District 2 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, West Virginia District 2

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Race header

U.S. House, West Virginia District 2 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Ace Parsi
2%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Riley M. Moore incumbent
98%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentRiley M. Moore

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
98% Riley M. Moore · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP Riley M. Moore 98%
DEM Ace Parsi 2%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) R+22 as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat REP 70.8% 2024 general · margin 41.5%

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMParsiREPMoore
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Ace Parsi$276,740.66
Riley M. Moore$1,617,727.47
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Ace Parsi$187,965.35
Riley M. Moore$1,160,065.38
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Ace Parsi$88,775.31
Riley M. Moore$580,624.92
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Ace ParsiNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Riley M. MooreNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Ace ParsiR+22seat-level
Riley M. MooreR+22seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2020
    R+22
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    -21.675

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2024 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    Riley M. MooreREP268,19070.77%
    Steven WendelinDEM110,77529.23%

    Total votes 378,965 · winning margin 41.54% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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