Influence no longer invisible Races · CA-18 House 2026
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Race · U.S. House · California · 2026

California District 18 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, California District 18

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Race header

U.S. House, California District 18 · Incumbent running
DEMAdvanced to the general
Zoe Lofgren incumbent
99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPAdvanced to the general
Shane Lewis
1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentZoe Lofgren

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
99% Zoe Lofgren · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Zoe Lofgren 99%
REP Shane Lewis 1%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMLofgrenREPLewis
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Zoe Lofgren$1,983,394.32
Shane Lewis$115,468.87
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Zoe Lofgren$1,620,786.13
Shane Lewis$111,052.14
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Zoe Lofgren$602,360.54
Shane Lewis$4,416.73
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Zoe LofgrenNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Shane LewisNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Zoe LofgrenNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Shane LewisNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    not available

    Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.

    Prior result, this seat

    not available

    Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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