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Race · U.S. Senate · New Jersey · 2026

New Jersey · U.S. Senate · 2026

Seat U.S. Senate, Class 2

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U.S. Senate, Class 2 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Cory A. Booker incumbent
98%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
OTHOn the ballot
Joanne Kuniansky
—Not published for this candidate
OTHOn the ballot
Veronica Fernandez
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Justin Murphy
2%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentCory A. Booker

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
98% Cory A. Booker · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Cory A. Booker 98%
REP Justin Murphy 2%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+4 cycles 2020, 2024
Prior result, this seat DEM 57.2% 2020 general · margin 16.3%

Side by side

4 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMBookerOTHKunianskyOTHFernandezREPMurphy
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Cory A. Booker$21,275,162.52
Joanne KunianskyNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Veronica FernandezNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Justin Murphy$68,188.87
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Cory A. Booker$9,568,237.79
Joanne KunianskyNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Veronica FernandezNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Justin Murphy$57,102.19
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Cory A. Booker$22,899,410.72
Joanne KunianskyNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Veronica FernandezNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Justin Murphy$10,190.62
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Cory A. BookerNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Joanne KunianskyNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Veronica FernandezNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Justin MurphyNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Cory A. BookerD+4seat-level
Joanne KunianskyD+4seat-level
Veronica FernandezD+4seat-level
Justin MurphyD+4seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2024
    D+4
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    +4.444
    Presidential cycles
    2020, 2024
    Computed
    2026-06-08

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the state, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2020 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    Cory A. BookerDEM2,541,17857.23%
    Rikin “Rik” MehtaREP1,817,05240.92%
    Madelyn R. HoffmanGRN38,2880.86%
    Veronica FernandezOTH32,2900.73%
    Daniel BurkeOTH11,6320.26%

    Total votes 4,440,440 · winning margin 16.31% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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