Influence no longer invisible Races · TX-25 House 2026
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Race · U.S. House · Texas · 2026

Texas District 25 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Texas District 25

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Race header

U.S. House, Texas District 25 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Dione Sims
6%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Roger Williams incumbent
94%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentRoger Williams

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
94% Roger Williams · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP Roger Williams 94%
DEM Dione Sims 6%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMSimsREPWilliams
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Dione Sims$546.48
Roger Williams$1,654,633.09
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Dione Sims$3,550.00
Roger Williams$1,020,983.22
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Dione Sims$-3,003.52
Roger Williams$1,205,150.83
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Dione SimsNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Roger WilliamsNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Dione SimsNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Roger WilliamsNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    not available

    Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.

    Prior result, this seat

    not available

    Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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