NY-10 House 2026 · Hidden Levers

Race header

U.S. House, New York District 10 · Open seat

DEMNominee

Brad Lander

>99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

REPNominee

Jennifer E. Moore

<1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

IncumbentNot available

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026

>99% Brad Lander · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates

DEM Brad Lander >99%

REP Jennifer E. Moore <1%

Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets

Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+35 as of cycle 2020

Prior result, this seat DEM 82.3% 2024 general · margin 67.3%

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures

FEC summary through 2026-09-30, 2026-10-14

MeasureDEMLanderREPMoore

Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees

Brad Lander$2,785,966.92through 2026-10-14

Jennifer E. Moore$2,693.46through 2026-09-30

Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date

Brad Lander$2,705,430.72through 2026-10-14

Jennifer E. Moore$1,167.79through 2026-09-30

Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period

Brad Lander$80,536.20through 2026-10-14

Jennifer E. Moore$1,525.67through 2026-09-30

Latest pollpercent, as stored

Brad LanderNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Jennifer E. MooreNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate

Brad LanderD+35seat-level

Jennifer E. MooreD+35seat-level

Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean · Hume PVI

as of cycle 2020

D+35

Lean (D minus R, points): +34.760

Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

Prior result, this seat

election returns

2024 general

Candidate	Party	Votes	% of total
Daniel S. Goldman	DEM	206,206	82.32%
Alexander Dodenhoff	REP	37,555	14.99%
Paul J. Briscoe	OTH	6,747	2.69%

Total votes 250,508 · winning margin 67.32% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

Sources: FEC filings (through Sep 30, 2026 or Oct 14, 2026, by candidate) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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