Influence no longer invisible Races · CA-36 House 2026
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Race · U.S. House · California · 2026

California District 36 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, California District 36

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Race header

U.S. House, California District 36 · Incumbent running
DEMAdvanced to the general
Ted W. Lieu incumbent
99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPAdvanced to the general
Houston Brignano
1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentTed W. Lieu

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
99% Ted W. Lieu · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Ted W. Lieu 99%
REP Houston Brignano 1%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMLieuREPBrignano
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Ted W. Lieu$2,218,447.53
Houston Brignano$7,020.37
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Ted W. Lieu$1,712,030.27
Houston Brignano$5,801.28
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Ted W. Lieu$1,181,424.01
Houston Brignano$1,219.09
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Ted W. LieuNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Houston BrignanoNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Ted W. LieuNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Houston BrignanoNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    not available

    Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.

    Prior result, this seat

    not available

    Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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