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Race · U.S. House · Colorado · 2026

Colorado District 5 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Colorado District 5

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Race header

U.S. House, Colorado District 5 · Incumbent running
CONOn the ballot
Christopher Mitchell
—Not published for this candidate
DEMNominee
Jessica Killin
22%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
LIBOn the ballot
Mark Marky Jr Elworth
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Jeff Crank incumbent
78%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentJeff Crank

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
78% Jeff Crank · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP Jeff Crank 78%
DEM Jessica Killin 22%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) R+9 as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat REP 54.7% 2024 general · margin 13.8%

Side by side

4 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureCONMitchellDEMKillinLIBElworthREPCrank
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Christopher Mitchell$210.00
Jessica Killin$5,593,463.21
Mark Marky Jr ElworthNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Jeff Crank$2,872,434.39
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Christopher Mitchell$8.73
Jessica Killin$5,085,734.98
Mark Marky Jr ElworthNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Jeff Crank$2,396,151.53
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Christopher Mitchell$201.27
Jessica Killin$507,728.23
Mark Marky Jr ElworthNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Jeff Crank$542,836.00
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Christopher MitchellNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Jessica KillinNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Mark Marky Jr ElworthNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Jeff CrankNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Christopher MitchellR+9seat-level
Jessica KillinR+9seat-level
Mark Marky Jr ElworthR+9seat-level
Jeff CrankR+9seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2020
    R+9
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    -9.416

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2024 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    Jeff CrankREP197,92454.66%
    River GassenDEM147,97240.87%
    Michael Keith VanceLIB6,4581.78%
    Joseph GayeOTH4,0941.13%
    Christopher MitchellOTH4,0061.11%
    Christopher SweatOTH1,6270.45%

    Total votes 362,081 · winning margin 13.80% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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