Influence no longer invisible Races · KS-03 House 2026
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Race · U.S. House · Kansas · 2026

Kansas District 3 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Kansas District 3

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Race header

U.S. House, Kansas District 3 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Sharice Davids incumbent
93%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
LIBOn the ballot
Steven A. Hohe
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Eric Jenkins
7%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentSharice Davids

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
93% Sharice Davids · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Sharice Davids 93%
REP Eric Jenkins 7%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) R+1 as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat DEM 53.4% 2024 general · margin 10.8%

Side by side

3 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMDavidsLIBHoheREPJenkins
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Sharice Davids$4,656,759.22
Steven A. HoheNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Eric Jenkins$51,735.28
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Sharice Davids$3,199,989.27
Steven A. HoheNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Eric Jenkins$32,793.79
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Sharice Davids$1,860,025.74
Steven A. HoheNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Eric Jenkins$18,941.49
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Sharice DavidsNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Steven A. HoheNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Eric JenkinsNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Sharice DavidsR+1seat-level
Steven A. HoheR+1seat-level
Eric JenkinsR+1seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2020
    R+1
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    -1.351

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2024 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    Sharice DavidsDEM209,87153.36%
    Prasanth ReddyREP167,57042.60%
    Steve RobertsLIB15,8924.04%

    Total votes 393,333 · winning margin 10.75% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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