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Race · U.S. House · Nevada · 2026

Nevada District 1 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Nevada District 1

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Race header

U.S. House, Nevada District 1 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Dina Titus incumbent
94%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
INDOn the ballot
Afzal Bobby Khan
—Not published for this candidate
INDOn the ballot
Steven Chap St. John
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Carrie Ann Buck
6%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentDina Titus

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
94% Dina Titus · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Dina Titus 94%
REP Carrie Ann Buck 6%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+3 as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat DEM 52.0% 2024 general · margin 7.5%

Side by side

4 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMTitusINDKhanINDJohnREPBuck
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Dina Titus$2,055,144.17
Afzal Bobby Khan$87,343.95
Steven Chap St. JohnNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Carrie Ann Buck$2,632,235.03
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Dina Titus$2,008,272.93
Afzal Bobby Khan$86,993.88
Steven Chap St. JohnNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Carrie Ann Buck$2,447,972.16
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Dina Titus$202,234.80
Afzal Bobby Khan$350.07
Steven Chap St. JohnNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Carrie Ann Buck$184,262.87
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Dina TitusNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Afzal Bobby KhanNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Steven Chap St. JohnNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Carrie Ann BuckNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Dina TitusD+3seat-level
Afzal Bobby KhanD+3seat-level
Steven Chap St. JohnD+3seat-level
Carrie Ann BuckD+3seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2020
    D+3
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    +2.762

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2024 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    Dina TitusDEM167,88551.99%
    Mark RobertsonREP143,65044.49%
    Ron “Ron Q.” QuinceOTH3,3211.03%
    William HogeOTH2,7360.85%
    David HavlicekLIB2,7110.84%
    David GoossenOTH2,5960.80%

    Total votes 322,899 · winning margin 7.51% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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