PA-06 House 2026 · Hidden Levers

Race header

U.S. House, Pennsylvania District 6 · Incumbent running

DEMNominee

Chrissy Houlahan incumbent

98%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

REPNominee

Marty Young

2%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

IncumbentChrissy Houlahan

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026

98% Chrissy Houlahan · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates

DEM Chrissy Houlahan 98%

REP Marty Young 2%

Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets

Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+5 as of cycle 2020

Prior result, this seat DEM 56.2% 2024 general · margin 12.4%

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures

FEC summary through 2026-10-14

MeasureDEMHoulahanREPYoung

Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees

Chrissy Houlahan$2,086,891.23

Marty Young$459,245.16

Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date

Chrissy Houlahan$1,344,776.18

Marty Young$357,604.08

Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period

Chrissy Houlahan$4,147,728.28

Marty Young$101,641.08

Latest pollpercent, as stored

Chrissy HoulahanNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Marty YoungNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate

Chrissy HoulahanD+5seat-level

Marty YoungD+5seat-level

Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean · Hume PVI

as of cycle 2020

D+5

Lean (D minus R, points): +4.630

Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

Prior result, this seat

election returns

2024 general

Candidate	Party	Votes	% of total
Chrissy Houlahan	DEM	235,625	56.20%
Neil Young	REP	183,638	43.80%

Total votes 419,263 · winning margin 12.40% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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