Race header
DEMNominee
Jennifer Jenkins
11%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Mike Haridopolos
incumbent
89%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentMike Haridopolos
Hume Outlook
89% Mike Haridopolos · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
Mike Haridopolos
89%
DEM
Jennifer Jenkins
11%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMJenkinsREPHaridopolos
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Jennifer Jenkins$960,174.42
Mike Haridopolos$2,049,237.21
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Jennifer Jenkins$807,452.37
Mike Haridopolos$1,825,049.83
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Jennifer Jenkins$152,722.05
Mike Haridopolos$482,350.21
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Jennifer JenkinsNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Mike HaridopolosNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Jennifer JenkinsNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Mike HaridopolosNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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