NJ-02 House 2026 · Hidden Levers

Race header

U.S. House, New Jersey District 2 · Incumbent running

DEMNominee

Zack Mullock

32%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

INDOn the ballot

Ramon Mora Jr.

—Not published for this candidate

REPNominee

Jeff Van Drew incumbent

68%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

IncumbentJeff Van Drew

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026

68% Jeff Van Drew · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates

REP Jeff Van Drew 68%

DEM Zack Mullock 32%

Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets

Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI) R+5 as of cycle 2020

Prior result, this seat REP 58.1% 2024 general · margin 16.9%

Side by side

3 candidates · 5 measures

FEC summary through 2026-09-30, 2026-10-14

MeasureDEMMullockINDMoraREPDrew

Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees

Zack Mullock$960,948.05through 2026-10-14

Ramon Mora Jr.$1,139.34through 2026-09-30

Jeff Van Drew$2,414,607.20through 2026-10-14

Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date

Zack Mullock$855,547.83through 2026-10-14

Ramon Mora Jr.$1,367.27through 2026-09-30

Jeff Van Drew$2,282,245.57through 2026-10-14

Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period

Zack Mullock$105,400.22through 2026-10-14

Ramon Mora Jr.$84.59through 2026-09-30

Jeff Van Drew$894,792.03through 2026-10-14

Latest pollpercent, as stored

Zack MullockNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Ramon Mora Jr.Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Jeff Van DrewNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate

Zack MullockR+5seat-level

Ramon Mora Jr.R+5seat-level

Jeff Van DrewR+5seat-level

Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean · Hume PVI

as of cycle 2020

R+5

Lean (D minus R, points): -4.836

Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

Prior result, this seat

election returns

2024 general

Candidate	Party	Votes	% of total
Jeff Van Drew	REP	215,946	58.11%
Joseph F. Salerno	DEM	153,117	41.20%
Thomas Cannavo	GRN	2,557	0.69%

Total votes 371,620 · winning margin 16.91% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

Sources: FEC filings (through Sep 30, 2026 or Oct 14, 2026, by candidate) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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