Race header
DEMNominee
Kimberly Overman
25%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
INDOn the ballot
Branden Scrivener
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Gus Michael Bilirakis
incumbent
75%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentGus Michael Bilirakis
Hume Outlook
75% Gus Michael Bilirakis · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
Gus Michael Bilirakis
75%
DEM
Kimberly Overman
25%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
3 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMOvermanINDScrivenerREPBilirakis
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Kimberly Overman$280,117.97
Branden Scrivener$8,195.29
Gus Michael Bilirakis$2,255,341.81
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Kimberly Overman$250,591.48
Branden Scrivener$8,128.56
Gus Michael Bilirakis$2,122,512.78
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Kimberly Overman$29,526.49
Branden Scrivener$27.53
Gus Michael Bilirakis$254,246.07
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Kimberly OvermanNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Branden ScrivenerNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Gus Michael BilirakisNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Kimberly OvermanNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Branden ScrivenerNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Gus Michael BilirakisNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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