AL Senate 2026 · Hidden Levers

Race header

U.S. Senate, Class 2 · Open seat

DEMNominee

Everett Wess

1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

REPNominee

Barry Moore

99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

IncumbentNot available

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026

99% Barry Moore · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates

REP Barry Moore 99%

DEM Everett Wess 1%

Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets

Latest poll Moore 48.0% · Wess 40.0% Blueprint Polling · 2026-10-24

Seat lean (Hume PVI) R+15 cycles 2020, 2024

Prior result, this seat REP 60.2% 2020 general · margin 20.4%

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures

FEC summary through 2026-10-14

MeasureDEMWessREPMoore

Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees

Everett Wess$128,570.16

Barry Moore$4,635,925.74

Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date

Everett Wess$118,027.37

Barry Moore$4,293,858.11

Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period

Everett Wess$10,542.79

Barry Moore$467,199.29

Latest pollpercent, as stored

Everett Wess40.0%Blueprint Polling · 2026-10-24

Barry Moore48.0%Blueprint Polling · 2026-10-24

Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate

Everett WessR+15seat-level

Barry MooreR+15seat-level

Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

5 listed · newest first

Newest field end 2026-10-24

Pollster / sponsor	Field dates	Sample	Wess	Moore	Others
Blueprint Polling	2026-10-22 to 2026-10-24	LV · n=695	40.0%	48.0%	none
CygnalGray Television; Alabama Daily News	2026-10-16 to 2026-10-17	LV · n=500	35.0%	50.0%	none
The Alabama Poll	2026-10-15 to 2026-10-16	LV · n=600	35.0%	56.0%	none
RMG ResearchAlabama Policy Action	2026-09-21 to 2026-09-25	RV · n=800	33.0%	54.0%	none
yes. every kid.	2026-07-08 to 2026-07-11	LV · n=601	32.0%	47.0%	none

Polling data CC BY 4.0 (FiveThirtyEight / VoteHub).

Seat lean · Hume PVI

as of cycle 2024

R+15

Lean (D minus R, points): -14.853
Presidential cycles: 2020, 2024
Computed: 2026-06-08

Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the state, not the Cook PVI.

Prior result, this seat

election returns

2020 general

Candidate	Party	Votes	% of total
Tommy Tuberville	REP	1,392,076	60.20%
Doug Jones	DEM	920,478	39.80%

Total votes 2,312,554 · winning margin 20.39% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Polls: FiveThirtyEight / VoteHub (CC BY 4.0) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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Alabama · U.S. Senate · 2026