Race header
DEMAdvanced to the general
Samantha Mota
15%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
DEMAdvanced to the general
Sydney Kamlager-Dove
incumbent
85%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentSydney Kamlager-Dove
Hume Outlook
85% Sydney Kamlager-Dove · DemocratLow confidenceChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM
Sydney Kamlager-Dove
85%
DEM
Samantha Mota
15%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMMotaDEMKamlager-Dove
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Samantha Mota$12,578.93
Sydney Kamlager-Dove$1,644,249.01
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Samantha Mota$12,250.64
Sydney Kamlager-Dove$1,521,487.07
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Samantha Mota$328.29
Sydney Kamlager-Dove$184,759.92
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Samantha MotaNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Sydney Kamlager-DoveNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Samantha MotaNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Sydney Kamlager-DoveNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
Federal law prohibits the sale or use of contributor information copied from FEC reports, by any person, for the purpose of soliciting contributions (including charitable contributions) or for any commercial purpose. 52 U.S.C. §30111(a)(4); 11 C.F.R. §104.15. Hidden Levers does not provide contributor contact information.