VA-06 House 2026 · Hidden Levers

Race header

U.S. House, Virginia District 6 · Incumbent running

DEMNominee

Beth A. Macy

5%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

REPNominee

Ben L. Cline incumbent

95%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

IncumbentBen L. Cline

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026

95% Ben L. Cline · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates

REP Ben L. Cline 95%

DEM Beth A. Macy 5%

Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets

Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI) R+14 as of cycle 2020

Prior result, this seat REP 63.2% 2024 general · margin 28.4%

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures

FEC summary through 2026-10-14

MeasureDEMMacyREPCline

Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees

Beth A. Macy$2,926,193.48

Ben L. Cline$1,908,289.13

Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date

Beth A. Macy$2,563,315.68

Ben L. Cline$1,709,308.30

Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period

Beth A. Macy$362,877.80

Ben L. Cline$527,302.86

Latest pollpercent, as stored

Beth A. MacyNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Ben L. ClineNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate

Beth A. MacyR+14seat-level

Ben L. ClineR+14seat-level

Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean · Hume PVI

as of cycle 2020

R+14

Lean (D minus R, points): -13.944

Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

Prior result, this seat

election returns

2024 general

Candidate	Party	Votes	% of total
Ben L. Cline	REP	256,933	63.20%
Ken L. Mitchell	DEM	141,612	34.83%
Robert C. “Robby” Wells, JR.	OTH	7,980	1.96%

Total votes 406,525 · winning margin 28.37% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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