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Race · U.S. House · Michigan · 2026

Michigan District 6 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Michigan District 6

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Race header

U.S. House, Michigan District 6 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Debbie Dingell incumbent
99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
GRNOn the ballot
Clyde Shabazz
—Not published for this candidate
LIBOn the ballot
Timothy A. Teagan
—Not published for this candidate
OTHOn the ballot
Linda Rayburn
—Not published for this candidate
OTHOn the ballot
Mike Mickevicius
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Heather Smiley
1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentDebbie Dingell

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
99% Debbie Dingell · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Debbie Dingell 99%
REP Heather Smiley 1%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+11 as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat DEM 62.0% 2024 general · margin 27.0%

Side by side

6 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMDingellGRNShabazzLIBTeaganOTHRayburnOTHMickeviciusREPSmiley
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Debbie Dingell$1,525,722.57
Clyde ShabazzNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Timothy A. TeaganNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Linda RayburnNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Mike MickeviciusNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Heather SmileyNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Debbie Dingell$1,413,283.28
Clyde ShabazzNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Timothy A. TeaganNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Linda RayburnNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Mike MickeviciusNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Heather SmileyNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Debbie Dingell$455,811.49
Clyde ShabazzNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Timothy A. TeaganNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Linda RayburnNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Mike MickeviciusNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Heather SmileyNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Debbie DingellNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Clyde ShabazzNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Timothy A. TeaganNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Linda RayburnNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Mike MickeviciusNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Heather SmileyNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Debbie DingellD+11seat-level
Clyde ShabazzD+11seat-level
Timothy A. TeaganD+11seat-level
Linda RayburnD+11seat-level
Mike MickeviciusD+11seat-level
Heather SmileyD+11seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2020
    D+11
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    +10.758

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2024 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    Debbie DingellDEM281,16262.02%
    Heather SmileyREP158,65835.00%
    Clyde K. ShabazzGRN7,9631.76%
    Bill KrebaumLIB5,5231.22%

    Total votes 453,306 · winning margin 27.02% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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