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Race · U.S. House · Texas · 2026

Texas District 26 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Texas District 26

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Race header

U.S. House, Texas District 26 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Steven Shook
3%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
LIBOn the ballot
Phil Gray
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Brandon Gill incumbent
97%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentBrandon Gill

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
97% Brandon Gill · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP Brandon Gill 97%
DEM Steven Shook 3%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

Side by side

3 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMShookLIBGrayREPGill
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Steven Shook$35,820.67
Phil GrayNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Brandon Gill$7,939,470.36
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Steven Shook$30,195.23
Phil GrayNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Brandon Gill$5,974,958.45
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Steven Shook$5,602.96
Phil GrayNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Brandon Gill$2,092,335.31
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Steven ShookNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Phil GrayNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Brandon GillNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Steven ShookNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Phil GrayNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Brandon GillNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    not available

    Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.

    Prior result, this seat

    not available

    Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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