Race header
DEMAdvanced to the general
Jamie Joyce
15%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
DEMAdvanced to the general
Lateefah Simon
incumbent
85%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentLateefah Simon
Hume Outlook
85% Lateefah Simon · DemocratLow confidenceChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM
Lateefah Simon
85%
DEM
Jamie Joyce
15%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMJoyceDEMSimon
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Jamie Joyce$69,669.05
Lateefah Simon$1,703,905.82
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Jamie Joyce$64,410.77
Lateefah Simon$1,263,803.98
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Jamie Joyce$5,258.28
Lateefah Simon$725,756.55
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Jamie JoyceNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Lateefah SimonNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Jamie JoyceNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Lateefah SimonNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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