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Race header
CONOn the ballot
Mark Hackett
—Not published for this candidate
DEMNominee
Annie Andrews
20%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
LIBOn the ballot
Kasie Whitener
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Darline Graham
incumbent
80%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentDarline Graham
Hume Outlook
80% Darline Graham · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
Darline Graham
80%
DEM
Annie Andrews
20%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Graham 47.0% · Andrews 46.0% · Whitener 2.0% · Hackett 1.0%
Targoz Market Research / South Carolina Policy Council · 2026-10-25
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
R+8
cycles 2020, 2024
Prior result, this seat
REP 54.5%
2020 general · margin 10.3%
Side by side
4 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureCONHackettDEMAndrewsLIBWhitenerREPGraham
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Mark HackettNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Annie Andrews$24,216,840.67
Kasie Whitener$27,614.81
Darline Graham$1,917,646.09
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Mark HackettNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Annie Andrews$22,507,375.14
Kasie Whitener$21,833.35
Darline Graham$1,283,216.19
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Mark HackettNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Annie Andrews$1,709,465.53
Kasie Whitener$5,781.46
Darline Graham$634,429.90
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Mark Hackett1.0%Targoz Market Research · 2026-10-25
Annie Andrews46.0%Targoz Market Research · 2026-10-25
Kasie Whitener2.0%Targoz Market Research · 2026-10-25
Darline Graham47.0%Targoz Market Research · 2026-10-25
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Mark HackettR+8seat-level
Annie AndrewsR+8seat-level
Kasie WhitenerR+8seat-level
Darline GrahamR+8seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
4 listed · newest first| Pollster / sponsor | Field dates | Sample | Hackett | Andrews | Whitener | Graham | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market ResearchSouth Carolina Policy Council | 2026-10-16 to 2026-10-25 | LV · n=895 | 1.0% | 46.0% | 2.0% | 47.0% | none |
| East Carolina University | 2026-10-19 to 2026-10-24 | LV · n=955 | 1.0% | 47.0% | 1.0% | 51.0% | none |
| InsiderAdvantage | 2026-09-28 to 2026-09-29 | LV · n=1,200 | 3.0% | 45.0% | 2.0% | 46.0% | none |
| InsiderAdvantage | 2026-09-08 to 2026-09-09 | LV · n=1,200 | not named | 43.2% | not named | 45.1% | none |
Polling data CC BY 4.0 (FiveThirtyEight / VoteHub).
Seat lean · Hume PVI
R+8
- Lean (D minus R, points)
- -8.273
- Presidential cycles
- 2020, 2024
- Computed
- 2026-06-08
Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the state, not the Cook PVI.
Prior result, this seat
2020 general
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % of total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Graham | REP | 1,369,137 | 54.49% |
| Jaime Harrison | DEM | 1,110,828 | 44.21% |
| Bill Bledsoe | OTH | 32,845 | 1.31% |
Total votes 2,512,810 · winning margin 10.28% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Polls: FiveThirtyEight / VoteHub (CC BY 4.0) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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