NJ-06 House 2026 · Hidden Levers

Race header

U.S. House, New Jersey District 6 · Incumbent running

DEMNominee

Frank Pallone Jr. incumbent

98%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

REPNominee

Hillary Herzig

2%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

IncumbentFrank Pallone Jr.

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026

98% Frank Pallone Jr. · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates

DEM Frank Pallone Jr. 98%

REP Hillary Herzig 2%

Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets

Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+7 as of cycle 2020

Prior result, this seat DEM 56.1% 2024 general · margin 15.7%

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures

FEC summary through 2026-10-14

MeasureDEMPalloneREPHerzig

Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees

Frank Pallone Jr.$2,844,906.21

Hillary Herzig$11,766.00

Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date

Frank Pallone Jr.$2,847,299.80

Hillary Herzig$11,151.72

Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period

Frank Pallone Jr.$3,069,516.73

Hillary Herzig$614.28

Latest pollpercent, as stored

Frank Pallone Jr.Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Hillary HerzigNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate

Frank Pallone Jr.D+7seat-level

Hillary HerzigD+7seat-level

Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean · Hume PVI

as of cycle 2020

D+7

Lean (D minus R, points): +7.484

Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

Prior result, this seat

election returns

2024 general

Candidate	Party	Votes	% of total
Frank Pallone, JR.	DEM	170,275	56.07%
Scott Fegler	REP	122,519	40.34%
Fahad Akhtar	OTH	4,871	1.60%
Herb Tarbous	GRN	4,246	1.40%
Matthew Amitrano	LIB	1,770	0.58%

Total votes 303,681 · winning margin 15.73% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

Federal law prohibits the sale or use of contributor information copied from FEC reports, by any person, for the purpose of soliciting contributions (including charitable contributions) or for any commercial purpose. 52 U.S.C. §30111(a)(4); 11 C.F.R. §104.15. Hidden Levers does not provide contributor contact information.