MN-02 House 2026 · Hidden Levers

Race header

U.S. House, Minnesota District 2 · Open seat

DEMNominee

Matt Little

81%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

REPNominee

Eric Pratt

19%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

IncumbentNot available

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026

81% Matt Little · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates

DEM Matt Little 81%

REP Eric Pratt 19%

Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets

Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI) EVEN as of cycle 2020

Prior result, this seat DEM 55.6% 2024 general · margin 13.5%

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures

FEC summary through 2026-10-14

MeasureDEMLittleREPPratt

Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees

Matt Little$1,494,553.80

Eric Pratt$768,790.87

Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date

Matt Little$1,289,779.35

Eric Pratt$595,361.14

Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period

Matt Little$205,276.43

Eric Pratt$173,429.73

Latest pollpercent, as stored

Matt LittleNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Eric PrattNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate

Matt LittleEVENseat-level

Eric PrattEVENseat-level

Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean · Hume PVI

as of cycle 2020

EVEN

Lean (D minus R, points): +0.372

Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

Prior result, this seat

election returns

2024 general

Candidate	Party	Votes	% of total
Angie Craig	DEM	231,751	55.59%
Joe Teirab	REP	175,621	42.13%
Thomas William Bowman	OTH	9,492	2.28%

Total votes 416,864 · winning margin 13.46% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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