Race header
DEMAdvanced to the general
Ami Bera
95%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPAdvanced to the general
Robb Tucker
5%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentNot available
Hume Outlook
95% Ami Bera · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM
Ami Bera
95%
REP
Robb Tucker
5%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMBeraREPTucker
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Ami Bera$1,492,834.21
Robb Tucker$304,654.01
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Ami Bera$1,714,917.14
Robb Tucker$288,202.55
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Ami Bera$1,651,288.78
Robb Tucker$16,451.46
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Ami BeraNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Robb TuckerNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Ami BeraNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Robb TuckerNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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