Race header
DEMNominee
Casey Shepard
9%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Pete Sessions
incumbent
91%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentPete Sessions
Hume Outlook
91% Pete Sessions · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
Pete Sessions
91%
DEM
Casey Shepard
9%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMShepardREPSessions
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Casey Shepard$93,530.74
Pete Sessions$1,323,419.64
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Casey Shepard$11,012.78
Pete Sessions$730,787.86
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Casey Shepard$78,197.57
Pete Sessions$1,033,567.44
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Casey ShepardNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Pete SessionsNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Casey ShepardNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Pete SessionsNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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