Race header
DEMNominee
Tanya Lloyd
7%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Michael Cloud
incumbent
93%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentMichael Cloud
Hume Outlook
93% Michael Cloud · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
Michael Cloud
93%
DEM
Tanya Lloyd
7%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMLloydREPCloud
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Tanya Lloyd$270,814.09
Michael Cloud$1,219,653.23
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Tanya Lloyd$251,322.25
Michael Cloud$1,080,726.05
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Tanya Lloyd$19,679.17
Michael Cloud$275,804.47
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Tanya LloydNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Michael CloudNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Tanya LloydNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Michael CloudNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
Federal law prohibits the sale or use of contributor information copied from FEC reports, by any person, for the purpose of soliciting contributions (including charitable contributions) or for any commercial purpose. 52 U.S.C. §30111(a)(4); 11 C.F.R. §104.15. Hidden Levers does not provide contributor contact information.