WI-08 House 2026 · Hidden Levers

Race header

U.S. House, Wisconsin District 8 · Incumbent running

DEMNominee

Rick Crosson

14%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

REPNominee

Tony Wied incumbent

86%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

IncumbentTony Wied

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026

86% Tony Wied · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates

REP Tony Wied 86%

DEM Rick Crosson 14%

Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets

Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI) R+10 as of cycle 2020

Prior result, this seat REP 57.3% 2024 general · margin 14.7%

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures

FEC summary through 2026-10-14

MeasureDEMCrossonREPWied

Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees

Rick Crosson$168,411.93

Tony Wied$1,354,324.32

Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date

Rick Crosson$106,384.44

Tony Wied$1,157,189.07

Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period

Rick Crosson$62,027.49

Tony Wied$242,365.75

Latest pollpercent, as stored

Rick CrossonNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Tony WiedNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate

Rick CrossonR+10seat-level

Tony WiedR+10seat-level

Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean · Hume PVI

as of cycle 2020

R+10

Lean (D minus R, points): -10.180

Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

Prior result, this seat

election returns

2024 general

Candidate	Party	Votes	% of total
Tony Wied	REP	240,040	57.33%
Kristin Lyerly	DEM	178,666	42.67%

Total votes 418,706 · winning margin 14.66% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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