DE Senate 2026 · Hidden Levers

Race header

U.S. Senate, Class 2 · Incumbent running

DEMNominee

Chris Coons incumbent

98%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

REPNominee

Michael Dr.Mike Katz

2%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

IncumbentChris Coons

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026

98% Chris Coons · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates

DEM Chris Coons 98%

REP Michael Dr.Mike Katz 2%

Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets

Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+8 cycles 2020, 2024

Prior result, this seat DEM 59.4% 2020 general · margin 21.5%

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures

FEC summary through 2026-10-14

MeasureDEMCoonsREPKatz

Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees

Chris Coons$4,956,015.33

Michael Dr.Mike Katz$190,416.12

Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date

Chris Coons$2,109,503.97

Michael Dr.Mike Katz$174,331.53

Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period

Chris Coons$5,031,711.21

Michael Dr.Mike Katz$16,084.59

Latest pollpercent, as stored

Chris CoonsNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Michael Dr.Mike KatzNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate

Chris CoonsD+8seat-level

Michael Dr.Mike KatzD+8seat-level

Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean · Hume PVI

as of cycle 2024

D+8

Lean (D minus R, points): +7.939
Presidential cycles: 2020, 2024
Computed: 2026-06-08

Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the state, not the Cook PVI.

Prior result, this seat

election returns

2020 general

Candidate	Party	Votes	% of total
Chris Coons	DEM	291,804	59.44%
Lauren Witzke	REP	186,054	37.90%
Mark W. Turley	OTH	7,833	1.60%
Nadine M. Frost	LIB	5,244	1.07%

Total votes 490,935 · winning margin 21.54% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

Federal law prohibits the sale or use of contributor information copied from FEC reports, by any person, for the purpose of soliciting contributions (including charitable contributions) or for any commercial purpose. 52 U.S.C. §30111(a)(4); 11 C.F.R. §104.15. Hidden Levers does not provide contributor contact information.

Delaware · U.S. Senate · 2026