Race header
DEMNominee
Bobby Pulido
72%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Monica De La Cruz
incumbent
28%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentMonica De La Cruz
Hume Outlook
72% Bobby Pulido · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM
Bobby Pulido
72%
REP
Monica De La Cruz
28%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Pulido 51.0% · Cruz 44.0%
Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center / San Antonio Express-News; El País; Puente News Collaborative · 2026-10-16
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMPulidoREPCruz
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Bobby Pulido$6,819,246.79
Monica De La Cruz$6,814,266.73
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Bobby Pulido$5,549,792.34
Monica De La Cruz$7,034,424.76
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Bobby Pulido$1,269,454.45
Monica De La Cruz$393,811.86
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Bobby Pulido51.0%Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center · 2026-10-16
Monica De La Cruz44.0%Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center · 2026-10-16
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Bobby PulidoNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Monica De La CruzNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
5 listed · newest first| Pollster / sponsor | Field dates | Sample | Pulido | Cruz | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey CenterSan Antonio Express-News; El País; Puente News Collaborative | 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-16 | LV | 51.0% | 44.0% | none |
| Normington, Petts & AssociatesHouse Majority PAC | 2026-09-24 to 2026-09-28 | LV · n=400 | 54.0% | 41.0% | none |
| Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center | 2026-07-27 to 2026-07-30 | LV · n=700 | 50.0% | 45.0% | none |
| ApplecartWelcomePAC | 2026-05-18 to 2026-05-25 | LV · n=802 | 48.0% | 46.0% | none |
| Public Policy PollingHouse Majority PAC | 2025-09-10 to 2025-09-11 | LV · n=533 | 38.0% | 41.0% | none |
Polling data CC BY 4.0 (FiveThirtyEight / VoteHub).
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Polls: FiveThirtyEight / VoteHub (CC BY 4.0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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