Race header
DEMNominee
Curtis Gibson
15%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
INDOn the ballot
Deva Simmons
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Scott Franklin
incumbent
85%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentScott Franklin
Hume Outlook
85% Scott Franklin · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
Scott Franklin
85%
DEM
Curtis Gibson
15%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
3 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMGibsonINDSimmonsREPFranklin
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Curtis Gibson$13,784.90through 2026-09-30
Deva Simmons$29,703.80through 2026-10-14
Scott Franklin$1,026,403.99through 2026-10-14
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Curtis Gibson$10,755.81through 2026-09-30
Deva Simmons$31,220.09through 2026-10-14
Scott Franklin$625,068.70through 2026-10-14
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Curtis Gibson$1,576.67through 2026-09-30
Deva Simmons$-1,516.29through 2026-10-14
Scott Franklin$883,230.77through 2026-10-14
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Curtis GibsonNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Deva SimmonsNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Scott FranklinNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Curtis GibsonNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Deva SimmonsNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Scott FranklinNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Sep 30, 2026 or Oct 14, 2026, by candidate) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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