IL-17 House 2026 · Hidden Levers

Race header

U.S. House, Illinois District 17 · Incumbent running

DEMNominee

Eric Sorensen incumbent

91%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

REPNominee

Dillan Vancil

9%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

IncumbentEric Sorensen

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026

91% Eric Sorensen · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates

DEM Eric Sorensen 91%

REP Dillan Vancil 9%

Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets

Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+2 as of cycle 2020

Prior result, this seat DEM 54.4% 2024 general · margin 8.8%

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures

FEC summary through 2026-10-14

MeasureDEMSorensenREPVancil

Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees

Eric Sorensen$2,657,085.16

Dillan Vancil$406,023.47

Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date

Eric Sorensen$1,480,016.95

Dillan Vancil$373,863.61

Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period

Eric Sorensen$1,289,862.49

Dillan Vancil$52,481.85

Latest pollpercent, as stored

Eric SorensenNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Dillan VancilNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate

Eric SorensenD+2seat-level

Dillan VancilD+2seat-level

Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean · Hume PVI

as of cycle 2020

D+2

Lean (D minus R, points): +1.851

Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

Prior result, this seat

election returns

2024 general

Candidate	Party	Votes	% of total
Eric Sorensen	DEM	170,261	54.43%
Joe McGraw	REP	142,567	45.57%

Total votes 312,828 · winning margin 8.85% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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