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Race · U.S. House · Massachusetts · 2026

Massachusetts District 8 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Massachusetts District 8

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Race header

U.S. House, Massachusetts District 8 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Stephen F. Lynch incumbent
99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
INDOn the ballot
Rasheed Nicholas Walters
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Robert Gerald Burke
1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentStephen F. Lynch

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
99% Stephen F. Lynch · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Stephen F. Lynch 99%
REP Robert Gerald Burke 1%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+15 as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat DEM 70.6% 2024 general · margin 41.2%

Side by side

3 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-09-30, 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMLynchINDWaltersREPBurke
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Stephen F. Lynch$1,052,702.73through 2026-10-14
Rasheed Nicholas WaltersNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Robert Gerald Burke$1,525.00through 2026-09-30
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Stephen F. Lynch$1,647,457.80through 2026-10-14
Rasheed Nicholas WaltersNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Robert Gerald Burke$12,552.79through 2026-09-30
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Stephen F. Lynch$493,968.79through 2026-10-14
Rasheed Nicholas WaltersNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Robert Gerald Burke$-16,965.60through 2026-09-30
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Stephen F. LynchNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Rasheed Nicholas WaltersNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Robert Gerald BurkeNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Stephen F. LynchD+15seat-level
Rasheed Nicholas WaltersD+15seat-level
Robert Gerald BurkeD+15seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2020
    D+15
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    +15.048

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2024 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    Stephen F. LynchDEM265,43270.58%
    Robert G. BurkeREP110,63829.42%

    Total votes 376,070 · winning margin 41.16% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Sources: FEC filings (through Sep 30, 2026 or Oct 14, 2026, by candidate) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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