Influence no longer invisible Races · CO-08 House 2026
Hidden Levers
Race · U.S. House · Colorado · 2026

Colorado District 8 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Colorado District 8

← All 2026 races

Race header

U.S. House, Colorado District 8 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Manny Rutinel
77%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
LIBOn the ballot
Dave Wood
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Gabe Evans incumbent
23%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentGabe Evans

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
77% Manny Rutinel · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Manny Rutinel 77%
REP Gabe Evans 23%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) R+1 as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat REP 49.0% 2024 general · margin 0.7%

Side by side

3 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMRutinelLIBWoodREPEvans
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Manny Rutinel$9,459,070.43
Dave WoodNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Gabe Evans$7,248,105.93
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Manny Rutinel$8,456,428.08
Dave WoodNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Gabe Evans$5,994,909.09
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Manny Rutinel$1,002,642.35
Dave WoodNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Gabe Evans$1,328,189.23
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Manny RutinelNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Dave WoodNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Gabe EvansNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Manny RutinelR+1seat-level
Dave WoodR+1seat-level
Gabe EvansR+1seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2020
    R+1
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    -0.669

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2024 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    Gabe EvansREP163,32048.96%
    Yadira CaraveoDEM160,87148.22%
    Chris BaumOTH5,7411.72%
    Susan Patricia HallOTH3,6771.10%

    Total votes 333,609 · winning margin 0.73% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

    Federal law prohibits the sale or use of contributor information copied from FEC reports, by any person, for the purpose of soliciting contributions (including charitable contributions) or for any commercial purpose. 52 U.S.C. §30111(a)(4); 11 C.F.R. §104.15. Hidden Levers does not provide contributor contact information.