WA-07 House 2026 · Hidden Levers

Race header

U.S. House, Washington District 7 · Incumbent running

DEMAdvanced to the general

Pramila Jayapal incumbent

>99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

REPAdvanced to the general

Nirav Sheth

<1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

IncumbentPramila Jayapal

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026

>99% Pramila Jayapal · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates

DEM Pramila Jayapal >99%

REP Nirav Sheth <1%

Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets

Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+37 as of cycle 2020

Prior result, this seat DEM 84.2% 2024 general · margin 68.3%

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures

FEC summary through 2026-10-14

MeasureDEMJayapalREPSheth

Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees

Pramila Jayapal$2,920,966.88

Nirav Sheth$71,544.33

Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date

Pramila Jayapal$3,180,450.73

Nirav Sheth$70,425.49

Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period

Pramila Jayapal$1,753,240.92

Nirav Sheth$4,876.80

Latest pollpercent, as stored

Pramila JayapalNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Nirav ShethNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate

Pramila JayapalD+37seat-level

Nirav ShethD+37seat-level

Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean · Hume PVI

as of cycle 2020

D+37

Lean (D minus R, points): +36.563

Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

Prior result, this seat

election returns

2024 general

Candidate	Party	Votes	% of total
Pramila Jayapal	DEM	352,286	84.18%
Dan Alexander	REP	66,220	15.82%

Total votes 418,506 · winning margin 68.35% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

Federal law prohibits the sale or use of contributor information copied from FEC reports, by any person, for the purpose of soliciting contributions (including charitable contributions) or for any commercial purpose. 52 U.S.C. §30111(a)(4); 11 C.F.R. §104.15. Hidden Levers does not provide contributor contact information.