Race header
DEMNominee
Emilia Strong Sykes
incumbent
84%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
INDOn the ballot
Sandeep Dixit
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Carey Coleman
16%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentEmilia Strong Sykes
Hume Outlook
84% Emilia Strong Sykes · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM
Emilia Strong Sykes
84%
REP
Carey Coleman
16%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
3 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMSykesINDDixitREPColeman
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Emilia Strong Sykes$3,990,518.80
Sandeep Dixit$92,372.00
Carey Coleman$169,537.46
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Emilia Strong Sykes$3,171,439.43
Sandeep Dixit$78,340.72
Carey Coleman$106,744.30
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Emilia Strong Sykes$941,757.91
Sandeep Dixit$2,044.25
Carey Coleman$62,793.16
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Emilia Strong SykesNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Sandeep DixitNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Carey ColemanNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Emilia Strong SykesNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Sandeep DixitNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Carey ColemanNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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