Race header
CONOn the ballot
Brendan J. Gomez
—Hume Outlook held
DEMNominee
Kaylee Peterson
—Hume Outlook held
INDOn the ballot
Sarah Zabel
—Hume Outlook held
REPNominee
Russ Fulcher
incumbent
—Hume Outlook held
IncumbentRuss Fulcher
Hume Outlook · held
Data availability
The Hume Outlook is not published for this race yet.
The nominees in this race are not yet verified, so no win probability is published.
Surface: Hume Outlook. Entity: Idaho District 1 U.S. House 2026. Checked: 2026-10-28.
Nothing below is the Hume Outlook (our win probability); these are the other reads on this race.
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
R+22
as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat
REP 71.0%
2024 general · margin 45.6%
Side by side
4 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureCONGomezDEMPetersonINDZabelREPFulcher
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Brendan J. Gomez$0.00through 2026-03-31
Kaylee Peterson$279,403.54through 2026-10-14
Sarah Zabel$272,259.88through 2026-10-14
Russ Fulcher$848,383.86through 2026-10-14
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Brendan J. Gomez$0.00through 2026-03-31
Kaylee Peterson$260,450.18through 2026-10-14
Sarah Zabel$209,926.50through 2026-10-14
Russ Fulcher$818,448.57through 2026-10-14
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Brendan J. Gomez$0.00through 2026-03-31
Kaylee Peterson$24,344.68through 2026-10-14
Sarah Zabel$62,333.38through 2026-10-14
Russ Fulcher$209,944.01through 2026-10-14
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Brendan J. GomezNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Kaylee PetersonNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Sarah ZabelNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Russ FulcherNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Brendan J. GomezR+22seat-level
Kaylee PetersonR+22seat-level
Sarah ZabelR+22seat-level
Russ FulcherR+22seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
R+22
- Lean (D minus R, points)
- -22.320
Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.
Prior result, this seat
2024 general
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % of total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Russ Fulcher | REP | 331,049 | 71.01% |
| Kaylee Peterson | DEM | 118,656 | 25.45% |
| Matt Loesby | LIB | 9,594 | 2.06% |
| Brendan J. Gomez | OTH | 6,933 | 1.49% |
Total votes 466,232 · winning margin 45.56% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)
Sources: FEC filings (through Mar 31, 2026 or Oct 14, 2026, by candidate) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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