Race header
DEMNominee
Ben McAdams
98%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
INDOn the ballot
Elias Henry Montgomery
—Not published for this candidate
LIBOn the ballot
Jesse West
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Riley Owen
2%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentNot available
Hume Outlook
98% Ben McAdams · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM
Ben McAdams
98%
REP
Riley Owen
2%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Mcadams 62.7% · Owen 21.2% · West 4.7% · Montgomery 3.3%
Lighthouse Research / Utah Debate Commission · 2026-09-10
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
4 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMMcadamsINDMontgomeryLIBWestREPOwen
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Ben McAdams$2,813,806.53
Elias Henry MontgomeryNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Jesse WestNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Riley Owen$164,069.93
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Ben McAdams$2,450,992.38
Elias Henry MontgomeryNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Jesse WestNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Riley Owen$154,566.82
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Ben McAdams$377,817.48
Elias Henry MontgomeryNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Jesse WestNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Riley Owen$9,503.11
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Ben McAdams62.7%Lighthouse Research · 2026-09-10
Elias Henry Montgomery3.3%Lighthouse Research · 2026-09-10
Jesse West4.7%Lighthouse Research · 2026-09-10
Riley Owen21.2%Lighthouse Research · 2026-09-10
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Ben McAdamsNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Elias Henry MontgomeryNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Jesse WestNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Riley OwenNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
1 listed · newest first| Pollster / sponsor | Field dates | Sample | Mcadams | Montgomery | West | Owen | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lighthouse ResearchUtah Debate Commission | 2026-08-31 to 2026-09-10 | LV · n=515 | 62.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 21.2% | none |
Polling data CC BY 4.0 (FiveThirtyEight / VoteHub).
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Polls: FiveThirtyEight / VoteHub (CC BY 4.0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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