Influence no longer invisible Races · CA-38 House 2026
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Race · U.S. House · California · 2026

California District 38 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, California District 38

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Race header

U.S. House, California District 38 · Open seat
DEMAdvanced to the general
Hilda Solis
99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPAdvanced to the general
Pedro Antonio Casas
1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentNot available

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
99% Hilda Solis · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Hilda Solis 99%
REP Pedro Antonio Casas 1%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMSolisREPCasas
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Hilda Solis$1,482,148.13
Pedro Antonio CasasNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Hilda Solis$1,197,641.24
Pedro Antonio CasasNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Hilda Solis$284,506.89
Pedro Antonio CasasNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Hilda SolisNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Pedro Antonio CasasNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Hilda SolisNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Pedro Antonio CasasNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    not available

    Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.

    Prior result, this seat

    not available

    Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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