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Race · U.S. House · Virginia · 2026

Virginia District 3 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Virginia District 3

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Race header

U.S. House, Virginia District 3 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Robert C. Bobby Scott incumbent
99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
INDOn the ballot
Makiba A. Gaines
—Not published for this candidate
INDOn the ballot
Stephen C. Woll
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Edwin Rivera Jr.
1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentRobert C. Bobby Scott

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
99% Robert C. Bobby Scott · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Robert C. Bobby Scott 99%
REP Edwin Rivera Jr. 1%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+17 as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat DEM 70.1% 2024 general · margin 40.2%

Side by side

4 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMScottINDGainesINDWollREPRivera
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Robert C. Bobby Scott$882,179.43
Makiba A. GainesNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Stephen C. Woll$67,506.00
Edwin Rivera Jr.$15,390.56
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Robert C. Bobby Scott$886,378.71
Makiba A. GainesNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Stephen C. Woll$52,311.86
Edwin Rivera Jr.$10,755.82
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Robert C. Bobby Scott$162,482.61
Makiba A. GainesNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Stephen C. Woll$15,194.14
Edwin Rivera Jr.$4,634.74
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Robert C. Bobby ScottNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Makiba A. GainesNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Stephen C. WollNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Edwin Rivera Jr.Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Robert C. Bobby ScottD+17seat-level
Makiba A. GainesD+17seat-level
Stephen C. WollD+17seat-level
Edwin Rivera Jr.D+17seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2020
    D+17
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    +16.917

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2024 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    Robert C. Bobby ScottDEM219,92670.10%
    John Sitka IIIREP93,80129.90%

    Total votes 313,727 · winning margin 40.20% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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