Race header
DEMAdvanced to the general
Dave Min
incumbent
96%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPAdvanced to the general
Jenny Rae Le Roux
4%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentDave Min
Hume Outlook
96% Dave Min · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM
Dave Min
96%
REP
Jenny Rae Le Roux
4%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMMinREPRoux
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Dave Min$3,872,174.88
Jenny Rae Le Roux$592,041.22
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Dave Min$2,562,594.76
Jenny Rae Le Roux$456,266.74
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Dave Min$1,482,645.90
Jenny Rae Le Roux$135,774.48
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Dave MinNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Jenny Rae Le RouxNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Dave MinNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Jenny Rae Le RouxNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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